Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Sacramento State

78.4%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL165.1

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -363

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Projected Total165.1

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricCal State Northridge

43MMH Power Index50

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.3

112.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

-5.9Net Efficiency2.1

0.9Strength of Schedule-0.6

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

73.2Tempo75.9

48.5%Effective FG%51.0%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-4.3Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–43.0), offensive efficiency (107.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.0), net efficiency (2.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-0.6), ball security (14.2–17.3), free throw rate (41.8–34.7).

Final

Sacramento State

88—100

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 12 • 82.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATCal State Northridge

28-68FG34-65

41.0%FG%52.0%

8-243PT9-24

33.0%3PT%38.0%

24-27FT23-30

89.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds44

6Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists24

8Turnovers12

7Steals6

3Blocks6

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	34	8-19	2-7	8-8	11	2	4	0	26
Mikey Williams	G	37	6-21	0-4	7-8	2	9	0	0	19
Jahni Summers	G	33	4-5	3-3	3-3	5	0	1	0	14
Brandon Gardner	F	24	3-5	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	1	8
Mark Lavrenov	F	22	2-5	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	7
Shaqir O'Neal	F	26	2-3	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	2	6
Arman Madi	G	11	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Taj Glover	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jayden Teat	G	3	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Nyarko	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Davis	G	39	7-13	0-2	8-11	4	10	2	1	22
Davius Loury	F	34	7-11	6-8	0-2	3	2	0	2	20
Larry Hughes II	G	26	6-10	2-4	4-4	2	2	0	0	18
Mahmoud Fofana	F	27	7-7	0-0	3-5	8	3	3	2	17
Joshua O'Garro	G	38	4-15	0-5	8-8	11	6	0	1	16
Grady Lewis	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
James Evans Jr.	G	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Brinson	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Aleks Szymczyk	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Jai Chisolm	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.6Possessions82.6

106.5Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency106.5

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

47.1%Effective FG%59.2%

54.4%True Shooting %63.1%

9.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate46.2%

35.3%3-Point Rate36.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 82.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.