Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Northern Iowa

83.1%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL135.3

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -492

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 62

Projected Total135.3

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 73

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricSaint Mary's

61MMH Power Index70.7

108.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

96.4Defensive Efficiency97.4

12.0Net Efficiency19.3

2.2Strength of Schedule3.0

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

64.1Tempo66.3

54.6%Effective FG%53.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.6%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

26.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

7.7Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–61.0), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.4), net efficiency (19.3–12.0), strength of schedule (3.0–2.2).

Northern Iowa COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.4–97.4), shooting efficiency (54.6–53.1), ball security (14.4–16.6).

Final

Northern Iowa

58—63

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 5 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATSaint Mary's

24-55FG17-53

44.0%FG%32.0%

7-203PT4-20

35.0%3PT%20.0%

3-4FT25-27

75.0%FT%93.0%

25Rebounds43

3Offensive Rebounds15

18Assists10

8Turnovers11

7Steals6

3Blocks5

23Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	38	8-16	2-7	0-0	5	5	2	0	18
Leon Bond III	F	38	4-10	2-5	0-0	5	5	1	0	10
Tristan Smith	F	25	5-10	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	2	10
Ismael Diouf	F	23	4-4	2-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	10
Ben Schwieger	F	35	3-10	1-3	2-2	3	2	2	1	9
Will Hornseth	F	15	0-3	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	0	1
Kyle Pock	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Chase Courbat	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paulius Murauskas	F	34	6-18	1-7	7-8	7	0	1	0	20
Mikey Lewis	G	37	5-18	1-6	6-6	6	3	0	0	17
Harry Wessels	C	27	1-3	0-0	7-8	7	0	1	3	9
Joshua Dent	G	40	3-6	2-5	0-0	5	3	2	0	8
Andrew McKeever	C	13	1-2	0-0	4-4	4	2	0	0	6
Tony Duckett	G	3	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Dillan Shaw	G	38	0-5	0-2	0-0	9	2	2	2	0
Liam Campbell	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rory Hawke	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

93.7Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency93.7

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

50.0%Effective FG%35.8%

51.0%True Shooting %47.9%

12.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

7.3%Free Throw Rate50.9%

36.4%3-Point Rate37.7%

2.25Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.