Lindenwood

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Lindenwood

72.9%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -269

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLindenwood 73

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreMissouri State 79

Team Comparison

LindenwoodMetricMissouri State

46.8MMH Power Index51.1

105.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

98.6Defensive Efficiency108.4

6.9Net Efficiency2.1

-6.8Strength of Schedule0.5

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

73.7Tempo67.9

50.2%Effective FG%51.8%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

37.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

5.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–46.8), offensive efficiency (110.5–105.5), strength of schedule (0.5–-6.8), shooting efficiency (51.8–50.2).

Lindenwood COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.6–108.4), net efficiency (6.9–2.1), recent form (-1.4–-2.1).

Final

Lindenwood

65—70

Missouri State

Missouri State by 5 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LindenwoodTEAM STATMissouri State

22-59FG26-62

37.0%FG%42.0%

3-223PT6-27

14.0%3PT%22.0%

18-31FT12-23

58.0%FT%52.0%

41Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists11

9Turnovers9

5Steals5

6Blocks4

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Lindenwood

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadis Jones	G	36	6-11	0-0	4-8	7	3	1	1	16
Dontrez Williams	G	32	4-13	0-3	7-12	2	0	2	1	15
Milos Nenadic	C	30	3-9	0-4	3-5	7	1	0	2	9
Clayton Jackson	G	24	3-6	1-3	2-4	1	1	0	0	9
Mekhi Cooper	G	24	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Anias Futrell	G	35	2-11	0-5	2-2	15	1	2	0	6
Robert Lewis	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Jeremiah Talton	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	25	8-12	0-0	3-3	6	2	0	0	19
Keith Palek III	F	37	4-18	1-9	5-11	8	0	3	1	14
Kobi Williams	G	39	4-8	3-7	1-2	8	3	2	0	12
Zaxton King	G	36	3-11	0-5	2-4	2	3	0	0	8
Melakih Cunningham	G	13	3-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	7
Trey Williams Jr.	G	20	2-4	0-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	5
Logan Epes	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Cameron Boone	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	2
Darrion Sutton	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

94.5Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency94.5

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

39.8%Effective FG%46.8%

44.1%True Shooting %48.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

52.5%Free Throw Rate37.1%

37.3%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.