Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.2%Idaho

13.8%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -625

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 83

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 72

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricCal State Bakersfield

53.2MMH Power Index32.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency100.2

104.3Defensive Efficiency112.6

7.3Net Efficiency-12.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

69.7Tempo73.0

52.8%Effective FG%46.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.6%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate43.8%

5.1Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–32.2), offensive efficiency (111.6–100.2), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.6), net efficiency (7.3–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.4), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.5), free throw rate (43.8–34.6).

Final

Idaho

63—64

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 1 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

22-58FG27-56

38.0%FG%48.0%

7-253PT7-21

28.0%3PT%33.0%

12-15FT3-8

80.0%FT%38.0%

35Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists10

11Turnovers13

9Steals6

1Blocks4

8Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Rowbury	F	36	8-12	2-4	2-3	9	0	1	1	20
Kolton Mitchell	G	34	6-16	2-8	3-4	2	5	1	0	17
Biko Johnson	G	33	3-9	2-5	5-6	3	2	2	0	13
Jackson Rasmussen	F	28	3-9	0-3	2-2	8	2	2	0	8
Seth Joba	F	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Trevon Blassingame	G	35	1-6	0-3	0-0	6	0	2	0	2
Isaiah Brickner	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Miles Klapper	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	36	8-15	3-8	1-1	2	2	1	0	20
AJ George	G	34	5-12	0-2	0-0	4	4	0	0	10
Jaden Alexander	G	24	4-8	2-5	0-0	6	0	1	0	10
Ronald Jessamy	F	22	4-8	0-1	0-3	5	0	0	1	8
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	33	2-3	0-0	2-4	13	0	2	2	6
Mike Price	G	26	2-7	2-4	0-0	0	1	2	0	6
Bentley Waller	G	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Kadar Waller	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

96.3Offensive Efficiency97.9

97.9Defensive Efficiency96.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

44.0%Effective FG%54.5%

48.4%True Shooting %53.5%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.8%

25.9%Free Throw Rate14.3%

43.1%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.