North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%North Carolina Central

77.4%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -342

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 72

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScorePenn State 80

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricPenn State

35.8MMH Power Index42.3

104.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

-5.3Net Efficiency-8.4

-8.0Strength of Schedule5.3

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

68.5Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%53.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-3.6Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina Central HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina Central holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (110.2–117.6), net efficiency (-5.3–-8.4), recent form (-5.4–-20.8), offensive rebounding (30.9–25.6).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (42.3–35.8), offensive efficiency (109.2–104.9), strength of schedule (5.3–-8.0).

Final

North Carolina Central

67—90

Penn State

Penn State by 23 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATPenn State

29-52FG33-59

56.0%FG%56.0%

5-153PT14-32

33.0%3PT%44.0%

4-7FT10-13

57.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds22

10Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists20

23Turnovers11

8Steals13

2Blocks1

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khouri Carvey	F	25	6-9	0-1	1-1	9	0	0	0	13
Dionte Johnson	G	30	5-11	1-2	0-0	5	4	3	0	11
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	29	5-6	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	11
Kyric Davis	G	29	4-5	0-1	2-2	5	2	3	1	10
Tekao Carpenter	G	37	4-8	1-4	0-2	1	5	0	0	9
Khalil Arnold	G	11	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Jae Slack	F	21	1-4	0-2	1-2	1	1	2	0	3
Camren Daniels	G	3	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Justin Edwards	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ramondo Battle II	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Ryan Archey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	27	8-12	3-6	0-0	3	5	6	0	19
Eli Rice	G	22	5-7	4-6	4-4	2	0	0	0	18
Dominick Stewart	G	15	3-5	3-5	2-2	0	1	1	0	11
Freddie Dilione V	G	32	4-11	1-5	1-2	2	5	0	1	10
Melih Tunca	G	27	4-7	1-3	1-3	3	4	3	0	10
Saša Ciani	F	11	3-4	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Mason Blackwood	F	10	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Josh Reed	F	22	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	4	1	0	5
Ivan Juric	F	25	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Tibor Mirtic	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Justin Houser	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Lotito	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency131.8

131.8Defensive Efficiency98.1

-33.7Net Efficiency33.7

60.6%Effective FG%67.8%

60.6%True Shooting %69.0%

33.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

13.5%Free Throw Rate22.0%

28.8%3-Point Rate54.2%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Penn State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.