Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Southern Illinois

59.8%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -149

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 76

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricMurray State

54.6MMH Power Index53.6

103.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

98.5Defensive Efficiency111.0

4.9Net Efficiency4.0

1.6Strength of Schedule3.5

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.6Tempo72.3

49.5%Effective FG%54.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

32.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.0–103.4), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.5), ball security (16.3–17.0).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.6–53.6), defensive efficiency (98.5–111.0), net efficiency (4.9–4.0).

Final

Southern Illinois

81—84

Murray State

Murray State by 3 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATMurray State

33-68FG29-57

49.0%FG%51.0%

3-83PT10-27

38.0%3PT%37.0%

12-17FT16-21

71.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds7

4Assists16

13Turnovers14

10Steals8

—Blocks4

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Prince Aligbe	F	21	7-13	0-0	5-8	9	0	1	19
Quel'Ron House	G	35	7-14	1-1	0-1	4	2	2	15
Davion Sykes	G	19	4-6	0-0	3-3	3	0	1	11
Rolyns Aligbe	F	16	5-11	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	11
Drew Steffe	G	33	4-8	1-1	1-1	4	1	1	10
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	32	2-5	1-3	2-2	2	1	1	7
Jorge Moreno	F	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	6
Jalen Haynes	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Max Pikaar	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Isaiah Stafford	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	22	6-11	3-7	4-4	3	2	1	0	19
JJ Traynor	F	28	6-7	3-4	1-2	9	0	1	1	16
Roman Domon	G	19	4-8	1-2	4-5	1	1	1	0	13
Layne Taylor	G	30	4-8	2-5	1-1	2	6	2	0	11
Fred King	C	19	4-8	0-1	3-5	5	2	0	2	11
Mathis Courbon	G	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	1	4
Brock Vice	F	7	2-3	0-1	0-0	7	0	1	0	4
Mason Miller	F	30	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
KJ Tenner	G	10	1-6	0-2	1-2	0	2	0	0	3
Brayden Shorter	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

108.6Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency108.6

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

50.7%Effective FG%59.6%

53.2%True Shooting %62.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.9%

25.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

11.8%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.31Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Murray State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.