Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.7%Belmont

19.3%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -418

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 82

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricIndiana State

61.8MMH Power Index44.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency106.0

14.9Net Efficiency-1.3

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.1

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

70.7Tempo70.3

60.7%Effective FG%53.6%

17.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate28.8%

10.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–44.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (103.7–106.0), net efficiency (14.9–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-0.2).

Final

Belmont

80—81

Indiana State

Indiana State by 1 • 76.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATIndiana State

27-63FG28-61

43.0%FG%46.0%

12-293PT12-30

41.0%3PT%40.0%

14-17FT13-26

82.0%FT%50.0%

37Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists24

16Turnovers14

5Steals8

8Blocks2

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	41	8-17	7-14	3-3	3	0	0	0	26
Drew Scharnowski	F	38	4-9	0-0	6-8	7	2	2	5	14
Brigham Rogers	F	26	6-8	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Eoin Dillon	F	20	4-6	3-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	11
Nic McClain	G	31	2-9	1-3	2-2	5	6	0	0	7
Win Miller	G	9	2-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Jabez Jenkins	G	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	2
Jack Smiley	G	18	0-8	0-5	1-2	3	2	0	0	1
Isaiah West	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	3	3	2	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camp Wagner	G	39	5-11	5-8	2-2	3	3	2	0	17
Ian Scott	F	35	4-11	1-4	5-10	9	6	0	0	14
Sterling Young	G	24	5-8	3-5	0-0	1	2	2	0	13
Derek Vorst	C	28	5-7	0-0	2-6	3	2	1	2	12
Xavier Hall	G	32	2-9	1-6	4-6	2	3	2	0	9
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	35	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	5	1	0	7
Hunter Harding	C	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Enel St. Bernard	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.3Possessions76.3

104.8Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

52.4%Effective FG%55.7%

56.3%True Shooting %55.2%

20.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

27.0%Free Throw Rate42.6%

46.0%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 76.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.