Saint Peter's

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Saint Peter's

69.0%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -223

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 69

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreFairfield 74

Team Comparison

Saint Peter'sMetricFairfield

47.5MMH Power Index50.1

106.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

103.0Defensive Efficiency105.4

3.6Net Efficiency4.2

-3.8Strength of Schedule-3.4

-1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

66.4Tempo67.8

47.6%Effective FG%49.1%

17.5%Turnover Rate15.0%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

36.6%Free Throw Rate28.4%

2.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (109.6–106.6), net efficiency (4.2–3.6), strength of schedule (-3.4–-3.8).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–105.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–36.0), free throw rate (36.6–28.4).

Final

Saint Peter's

70—66

Fairfield

Saint Peter's by 4 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Peter'sTEAM STATFairfield

28-70FG23-57

40.0%FG%40.0%

5-213PT6-21

24.0%3PT%29.0%

9-11FT14-19

82.0%FT%74.0%

44Rebounds36

18Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists7

10Turnovers12

9Steals5

4Blocks4

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Eaton	G	30	7-18	3-7	0-0	7	5	1	0	17
Brent Bland	G	34	5-10	1-4	3-4	8	2	3	1	14
Zaakir Williamson	F	24	4-11	0-0	3-4	11	0	2	0	11
Jahki Gupton	F	28	4-7	0-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	8
TJ Robinson	G	15	3-7	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Bol Agu	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Eric Morgan Jr.	G	14	1-6	0-3	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Adetokunbo Bakare	G	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Lucas Scroggins	F	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Elijah Perkins	G	23	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	40	7-15	5-8	3-3	4	2	0	1	22
Brandon Benjamin	F	38	8-13	0-1	5-7	11	1	2	2	21
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	38	3-8	0-1	5-7	9	1	0	0	11
Tony Williams	G	32	2-10	1-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Deuce Turner	G	21	2-10	0-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	4
Halon Rawlins	G	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	3
Eric Mejia	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Nasir Rodriguez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Isaac Munkadi	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Zan	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

104.3Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency104.3

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

43.6%Effective FG%45.6%

46.5%True Shooting %50.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

15.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

30.0%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Saint Peter's won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.