Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Northern Kentucky

68.5%Robert Morris

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRobert Morris -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINERobert Morris -217

Robert Morris

22-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 76

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreRobert Morris 82

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricRobert Morris

53.9MMH Power Index56.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency114.5

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.6

7.8Net Efficiency7.9

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

72.3Tempo67.6

54.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %38.4%

37.1%Free Throw Rate28.3%

5.7Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Robert Morris HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRobert Morris holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.3–53.9), defensive efficiency (106.6–107.1), net efficiency (7.9–7.8), strength of schedule (-2.4–-2.9).

Northern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–114.5), ball security (16.3–18.5), free throw rate (37.1–28.3).

Final

Northern Kentucky

79—77

Robert Morris

Northern Kentucky by 2 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATRobert Morris

28-52FG29-63

54.0%FG%46.0%

3-123PT12-32

25.0%3PT%38.0%

20-27FT7-14

74.0%FT%50.0%

28Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists23

12Turnovers15

10Steals3

1Blocks3

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	25	4-11	0-3	8-9	3	2	3	0	16
Dan Gherezgher	G	35	4-10	0-3	6-8	3	2	0	0	14
LJ Wells	F	33	7-11	0-0	0-0	8	0	2	0	14
Ethan Elliott	G	25	5-7	1-2	0-3	1	2	3	0	11
Kael Robinson	F	24	4-8	2-4	1-2	3	3	0	0	11
Shawn Nelson	G	10	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	6
Ryan Tolliver	G	6	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	3
Tae Dozier	G	26	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	0	2
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2

Robert Morris

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeSean Goode	F	32	7-8	2-2	2-4	14	3	0	1	18
Ryan Prather Jr.	G	38	6-13	3-8	0-0	4	5	1	0	15
Albert Vargas	G	35	4-10	3-8	4-5	2	6	0	0	15
Nikolaos Chitikoudis	F	30	6-12	0-0	1-3	4	2	2	1	13
Josh Hill	F	17	3-7	2-4	0-0	5	1	0	1	8
Cam Wilds	G	14	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Kaleb Brown	G	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Eddie Cooke III	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ta'Zir Smith	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Samuel Obenjo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

111.6Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency111.6

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

56.7%Effective FG%55.6%

60.9%True Shooting %55.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate21.5%

51.9%Free Throw Rate22.2%

23.1%3-Point Rate50.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.