Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Western Kentucky

50.5%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -102

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 74

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 76

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricJacksonville State

55.6MMH Power Index51.2

110.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

71.7Tempo67.2

48.6%Effective FG%51.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate44.5%

3.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.2), offensive efficiency (110.6–108.2), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.3), recent form (5.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–106.2), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

Final

Western Kentucky

67—78

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 11 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATJacksonville State

22-72FG21-38

31.0%FG%55.0%

9-363PT9-18

25.0%3PT%50.0%

14-21FT27-39

67.0%FT%69.0%

44Rebounds35

24Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists11

11Turnovers17

10Steals5

4Blocks6

27Fouls16

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armelo Boone	G	31	7-18	4-11	0-0	2	2	3	0	18
Teagan Moore	G	32	4-10	1-1	8-12	6	1	1	1	17
Cam Haffner	G	19	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Grant Newell	F	32	3-14	0-6	0-0	6	4	1	2	6
Jack Edelen	G	15	1-4	0-2	4-4	1	3	1	0	6
LJ Hackman	G	20	1-6	1-3	0-0	5	0	2	1	3
Ryan Myers	G	18	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Noah Boyde	F	4	1-1	0-0	1-3	1	0	0	0	3
Leeroy Odiahi	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Blaise Keita	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Kade Unseld	G	7	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AC Bryant	G	35	7-10	5-7	4-6	7	1	1	0	23
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	33	4-10	1-5	8-12	9	0	1	0	17
Jacoby Hill	G	39	3-4	1-1	7-9	4	2	2	0	14
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	27	3-6	1-2	4-6	5	3	1	3	11
Jaye Nash	G	28	3-6	1-3	3-4	3	2	0	0	10
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	18	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	3	1
Jamar Franklin	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aitor Anabitarte	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

97.4Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency97.4

-16.0Net Efficiency16.0

36.8%Effective FG%67.1%

40.9%True Shooting %69.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate24.8%

29.2%Free Throw Rate102.6%

50.0%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.