Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.4%Alabama State

77.6%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -346

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 75

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScoreMississippi State 83

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricMississippi State

38MMH Power Index44.6

101.7Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

-5.7Net Efficiency-5.8

-6.2Strength of Schedule5.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

71.9Tempo72.3

48.2%Effective FG%51.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

35.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-4.1Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (107.4–113.2), net efficiency (-5.7–-5.8), recent form (0.0–-17.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–29.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (44.6–38.0), offensive efficiency (107.4–101.7), strength of schedule (5.0–-6.2).

Final

Alabama State

56—94

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 38 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATMississippi State

14-50FG37-69

28.0%FG%54.0%

5-193PT10-25

26.0%3PT%40.0%

23-34FT10-14

68.0%FT%71.0%

27Rebounds49

9Offensive Rebounds17

3Assists19

12Turnovers11

7Steals9

2Blocks5

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Asjon Anderson	G	28	5-12	2-5	5-6	5	3	0	0	17
Micah Simpson	G	31	4-10	3-6	3-4	1	0	1	0	14
Tyler Byrd	G	24	2-6	0-1	6-7	1	0	1	0	10
Damarien Yates	G	17	1-4	0-3	4-6	5	0	1	0	6
Jerquarius Stanback	F	28	1-8	0-2	1-1	4	0	1	2	3
R'Chaun King	F	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Cameron Palesse	G	31	0-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	2	0	2
Kevin Alabi	F	12	0-1	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	0	1
Tyler Mason	F	8	0-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mario Andrews	C	5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Jordon Marshall	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	24	9-13	4-7	0-0	0	4	3	0	22
King Grace	G	16	6-9	2-3	0-2	0	1	1	0	14
Achor Achor	F	19	3-5	1-1	4-4	8	1	0	2	11
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	18	3-8	1-2	3-4	3	1	0	0	10
Sergej Macura	F	20	4-4	1-1	0-0	5	3	0	0	9
Quincy Ballard	C	17	4-6	0-0	0-0	15	0	0	2	8
Jayden Epps	G	21	2-8	0-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	6
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Brandon Walker	F	9	2-4	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	5
Amier Ali	G	9	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	3	1	0
Dellquan Warren	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	4	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

80.6Offensive Efficiency135.3

135.3Defensive Efficiency80.6

-54.7Net Efficiency54.7

33.0%Effective FG%60.9%

42.3%True Shooting %62.1%

17.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

68.0%Free Throw Rate20.3%

38.0%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.25Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.