Lamar

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Lamar

54.9%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -122

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLamar 67

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Team Comparison

LamarMetricNorthwestern State

44.1MMH Power Index41.3

105.0Offensive Efficiency104.0

103.8Defensive Efficiency109.0

1.2Net Efficiency-5.0

-3.0Strength of Schedule-1.6

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

66.6Tempo63.6

48.8%Effective FG%49.5%

18.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

28.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.8Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.0–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-3.0), recent form (-4.9–-8.2), shooting efficiency (49.5–48.8).

Final

Lamar

76—61

Northwestern State

Lamar by 15 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LamarTEAM STATNorthwestern State

31-54FG19-47

57.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT5-14

39.0%3PT%36.0%

7-10FT18-28

70.0%FT%64.0%

34Rebounds25

6Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists10

13Turnovers13

9Steals8

3Blocks—

22Fouls13

Player Box Score

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Lee Jr.	G	27	8-16	3-7	0-0	4	2	2	0	19
King-Njhsanni Wilhite	G	19	5-6	3-3	1-2	0	2	1	0	14
Eian Lowe	G	26	5-8	1-1	2-2	2	3	2	0	13
Cody Pennebaker	G	22	6-7	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
Braden East	F	25	2-4	0-0	1-2	12	0	1	1	5
Errol White	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	1	5
Andrew Holifield	F	30	2-6	0-4	0-0	3	1	1	1	4
B.B. Knight	G	14	1-4	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Janko Bulajic	C	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	3	0	0	0
Jayden Gambrell	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Izzy Miles	G	28	5-9	1-1	6-9	3	1	1	17
Micah Thomas	G	34	4-11	0-2	8-9	3	3	2	16
Justin Redmond	G	26	3-9	2-5	1-2	1	0	2	9
Chris Mubiru	G	25	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	6	0	6
Landyn Jumawan	G	22	2-5	2-4	0-1	2	0	0	6
Moustapha Loum	F	13	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	2	5
Omar Adegbola	G	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	2
Willie Williams	F	19	0-0	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0
Kordrick Turner	F	17	0-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0
Chip Brunt	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency92.3

92.3Defensive Efficiency115.0

22.7Net Efficiency-22.7

63.9%Effective FG%45.7%

64.7%True Shooting %50.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate19.6%

18.5%Free Throw Rate59.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate29.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Lamar won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.