Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.9%Valparaiso

85.1%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL136.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -571

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 62

Projected Total136.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 74

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricNorthern Iowa

49.9MMH Power Index61

106.6Offensive Efficiency108.4

105.8Defensive Efficiency96.4

0.8Net Efficiency12.0

0.3Strength of Schedule2.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

67.5Tempo64.1

48.7%Effective FG%54.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

40.0%Free Throw Rate26.2%

0.5Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–49.9), offensive efficiency (108.4–106.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–105.8), net efficiency (12.0–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.4–21.9), free throw rate (40.0–26.2).

Final

Valparaiso

48—58

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 10 • 57.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

17-58FG20-43

29.0%FG%47.0%

3-233PT4-12

13.0%3PT%33.0%

11-14FT14-18

79.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists11

8Turnovers10

6Steals6

4Blocks4

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	27	5-10	2-5	6-7	5	1	0	0	18
JT Pettigrew	F	26	2-9	0-2	2-2	7	1	1	0	6
Sader Servilus	G	11	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Justus McNair	G	16	1-4	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Brody Whitaker	G	24	2-7	0-3	0-0	3	1	3	0	4
Shon Tupuola	C	19	1-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	3	3
Rakim Chaney	G	32	1-7	0-4	0-1	4	3	1	0	2
Carter Hopoi	F	21	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Isaiah Barnes	G	16	1-7	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Mark Brown Jr.	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Hornseth	F	25	7-12	1-1	1-2	7	2	1	0	16
Trey Campbell	G	36	3-7	1-4	5-6	1	3	1	0	12
Ben Schwieger	F	31	4-6	1-1	0-0	6	2	2	2	9
Leon Bond III	F	29	3-9	0-2	3-4	4	1	0	0	9
Tristan Smith	F	29	1-2	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	2	4
Geon Hutchins	G	15	1-4	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Kyle Pock	F	19	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Ismael Diouf	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Hunter Jacobson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.7Possessions57.7

83.2Offensive Efficiency100.5

100.5Defensive Efficiency83.2

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

31.9%Effective FG%51.2%

37.1%True Shooting %56.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate17.4%

24.1%Free Throw Rate41.9%

39.7%3-Point Rate27.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 57.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.