Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Tarleton State

74.4%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Arlington -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Arlington -291

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 67

Projected Total142.3

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 75

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUT Arlington

44.6MMH Power Index49.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency102.7

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.9

1.6Net Efficiency4.8

-2.3Strength of Schedule-0.8

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

72.2Tempo68.1

49.0%Effective FG%48.5%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

42.8%Free Throw Rate43.7%

1.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–44.6), defensive efficiency (97.9–101.6), net efficiency (4.8–1.6), strength of schedule (-0.8–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.2–102.7), shooting efficiency (49.0–48.5), ball security (19.9–20.4).

Final

Tarleton State

69—69

UT Arlington

Tied • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUT Arlington

26-52FG26-52

50.0%FG%50.0%

4-133PT4-13

31.0%3PT%31.0%

13-28FT13-28

46.0%FT%46.0%

27Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists13

7Turnovers7

11Steals11

—Blocks—

23Fouls23

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cam McDowell	G	28	8-16	3-6	4-6	4	3	0	23
Freddy Hicks	G	33	4-6	0-2	2-6	5	2	4	10
Chris Mpaka	F	17	3-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	7
Leroy Kelly IV	G	22	2-4	0-0	2-3	1	1	2	6
DJ Dormu	G	21	2-4	0-1	2-6	2	4	1	6
Kade Douglas	G	10	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	5
Kaia Isaac	G	36	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	3	4
Andy Sigiscar	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Jordan Mizell	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-3	1	0	1	2
Dior Johnson	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Ocypher Owens	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cam McDowell	G	28	8-16	3-6	4-6	4	3	0	23
Freddy Hicks	G	33	4-6	0-2	2-6	5	2	4	10
Chris Mpaka	F	17	3-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	7
Leroy Kelly IV	G	22	2-4	0-0	2-3	1	1	2	6
DJ Dormu	G	21	2-4	0-1	2-6	2	4	1	6
Kade Douglas	G	10	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	5
Kaia Isaac	G	36	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	3	4
Andy Sigiscar	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Jordan Mizell	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-3	1	0	1	2
Dior Johnson	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Ocypher Owens	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

105.7Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency105.7

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

53.8%Effective FG%53.8%

52.8%True Shooting %52.8%

10.7%Turnover Rate10.7%

53.8%Free Throw Rate53.8%

25.0%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.