Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Ohio

51.6%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -107

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 78

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 79

Team Comparison

OhioMetricCentral Michigan

48MMH Power Index44

109.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

110.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

-1.0Net Efficiency-5.1

-0.1Strength of Schedule-0.5

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.0Tempo69.3

52.0%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

37.8%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-0.7Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–44.0), offensive efficiency (109.7–105.9), defensive efficiency (110.7–111.0), net efficiency (-1.0–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.3–-1.0), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.0), offensive rebounding (29.6–28.9).

Final

Ohio

80—64

Central Michigan

Ohio by 16 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATCentral Michigan

27-60FG24-58

45.0%FG%41.0%

4-203PTnull-13

20.0%3PT%0.0%

22-34FT16-23

65.0%FT%70.0%

40Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists9

12Turnovers15

8Steals8

3Blocks8

19Fouls24

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	37	6-11	2-5	9-13	7	9	1	0	23
JJ Kelly	G	34	7-10	0-1	1-3	4	0	2	1	15
Aidan Hadaway	F	33	6-14	0-5	1-1	11	6	1	1	13
Ajay Sheldon	G	28	3-6	2-5	2-3	4	0	0	0	10
Javan Simmons	F	24	3-7	0-0	4-5	6	2	1	0	10
Elijah Elliott	G	16	1-4	0-2	2-4	0	0	3	1	4
Jalen Breath	F	16	1-2	0-0	1-3	3	1	0	0	3
Dior Conners	G	5	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kiir Kuany	F	7	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamario Adley	G	33	7-14	0-2	5-6	5	3	2	0	19
Phat Phat Brooks	G	29	6-16	0-1	6-7	6	0	1	0	18
Keenan Garner	F	26	4-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	3	1	8
Nathan Claerbaut	C	29	3-6	0-0	1-3	7	4	0	6	7
Will Ashford	G	22	1-6	0-4	3-5	3	0	0	0	5
Jaxson Whitaker	G	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Nick Mullen	F	25	1-5	0-3	1-2	5	2	1	1	3
Logan McIntire	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

103.8Offensive Efficiency83.0

83.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

20.8Net Efficiency-20.8

48.3%Effective FG%41.4%

52.5%True Shooting %46.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.8%

56.7%Free Throw Rate39.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate22.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Ohio won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.