Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.2%Western Michigan

90.8%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -987

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 72

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreToledo 87

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricToledo

42.8MMH Power Index58.8

106.9Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.6Defensive Efficiency109.6

-6.7Net Efficiency6.4

2.0Strength of Schedule2.3

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

69.9Tempo69.8

50.3%Effective FG%55.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

34.6%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-4.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–42.8), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–113.6), net efficiency (6.4–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.0–30.4), free throw rate (34.6–30.3).

Final

Western Michigan

79—84

Toledo

Toledo by 5 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATToledo

30-69FG28-65

43.0%FG%43.0%

9-263PT4-25

35.0%3PT%16.0%

10-14FT24-36

71.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds44

18Offensive Rebounds21

14Assists10

13Turnovers10

6Steals6

5Blocks4

27Fouls17

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Williams	G	30	8-23	1-7	3-3	2	2	0	0	20
EJ Ryans	G	31	4-10	2-4	2-3	3	2	1	0	12
Trey Lewis	G	27	4-7	3-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	11
Max Burton	F	27	5-5	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	0	10
Jalen Griffith	G	19	3-9	2-5	1-2	1	3	0	0	9
Jayden Brewer	G	23	2-9	0-2	2-2	11	1	1	3	6
Sharod Barnes	G	14	1-2	0-0	2-4	3	3	2	0	4
Declan Peterson	C	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Brady Swartz	G	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Carson Vis	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	34	12-23	3-10	9-11	5	1	1	0	36
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	35	5-10	1-4	4-5	4	0	2	0	15
Sonny Wilson	G	38	3-10	0-1	8-13	8	6	1	0	14
Sean Craig	F	30	6-10	0-4	2-2	13	0	1	0	14
Will James Jr.	G	16	1-3	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Austin Parks	C	17	1-3	0-0	0-4	3	2	0	2	2
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Mynor Strong	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
London Praytor	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency111.4

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

50.0%Effective FG%46.2%

52.2%True Shooting %51.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.1%

20.3%Free Throw Rate55.4%

37.7%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Toledo won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.