Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.5%Buffalo

14.5%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -590

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 81

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 72

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricNorthern Illinois

49.7MMH Power Index29.2

114.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

112.2Defensive Efficiency111.6

2.7Net Efficiency-11.9

0.0Strength of Schedule-2.1

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

67.9Tempo69.7

56.1%Effective FG%48.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate21.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

40.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (114.9–99.7), net efficiency (2.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (0.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–112.2), offensive rebounding (31.7–27.6).

Final

Buffalo

81—67

Northern Illinois

Buffalo by 14 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

27-55FG23-56

49.0%FG%41.0%

11-263PT7-32

42.0%3PT%22.0%

16-23FT14-16

70.0%FT%88.0%

34Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists12

14Turnovers14

10Steals5

3Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Freitag	G	37	11-17	4-8	7-10	5	3	2	1	33
Ryan Sabol	G	37	4-13	2-8	4-4	4	4	2	0	14
Ezra McKenna	F	20	4-6	3-4	0-0	5	3	0	0	11
Angelo Brizzi	G	18	4-6	1-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	10
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	26	2-5	0-1	0-2	4	2	2	0	4
Noah Batchelor	G	29	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	0	2	0	3
Tim Oboh	C	19	0-2	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	1	3
Mikhail Pocknett	F	14	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	1	3

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Ducommun	G	37	7-19	3-12	2-2	3	4	1	1	19
Taj Walters	G	30	3-5	1-2	6-6	3	0	0	1	13
Makhai Valentine	G	33	4-12	2-8	1-1	6	3	1	0	11
Gustav Winther	F	26	3-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	0	8
Gianni Cobb	G	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Ladji Kante	F	8	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Jao Ituka	G	17	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Daemar Kelly	G	14	1-3	0-2	1-3	2	0	0	0	3
Hassan Washington	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

118.6Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency118.6

20.5Net Efficiency-20.5

59.1%Effective FG%47.3%

61.4%True Shooting %52.7%

20.3%Turnover Rate20.7%

41.8%Free Throw Rate28.6%

47.3%3-Point Rate57.1%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.