Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.7%Utah State

17.3%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -478

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 71

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricFresno State

65.7MMH Power Index47.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency104.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

16.6Net Efficiency0.0

3.5Strength of Schedule1.5

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.6Tempo69.4

56.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

11.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–104.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–104.9), net efficiency (16.6–0.0).

Final

Utah State

72—63

Fresno State

Utah State by 9 • 76.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATFresno State

26-55FG20-58

47.0%FG%34.0%

5-203PT5-22

25.0%3PT%23.0%

15-22FT18-22

68.0%FT%82.0%

41Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists8

20Turnovers18

14Steals12

2Blocks3

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	34	9-16	0-4	0-0	3	1	2	0	18
Mason Falslev	G	39	5-14	2-4	4-6	8	2	4	1	16
Kolby King	G	21	4-6	2-4	3-6	4	0	1	0	13
Elijah Perryman	G	17	2-6	1-3	4-4	0	3	2	0	9
Karson Templin	F	22	2-4	0-1	1-2	13	0	1	1	5
Adlan Elamin	F	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Drake Allen	G	21	1-3	0-2	1-2	6	4	1	0	3
Zach Keller	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Garry Clark	F	12	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Tucker Anderson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jordy Barnes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Heidbreder	G	38	7-19	3-9	4-4	3	1	3	0	21
Wilson Jacques	C	33	5-9	0-0	5-6	12	1	0	2	15
Bastien Rieber	G	26	3-4	1-2	5-8	4	1	1	0	12
DeShawn Gory	F	29	3-6	0-1	2-2	7	2	3	1	8
Zaon Collins	G	28	1-8	0-2	2-2	0	2	1	0	4
Cameron Faas	G	18	1-7	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
David Douglas Jr.	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	3	0	0
DJ Stickman	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Gasper Kocevar	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Makhan Diouf	F	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.0Possessions76.0

94.7Offensive Efficiency82.9

82.9Defensive Efficiency94.7

11.8Net Efficiency-11.8

51.8%Effective FG%38.8%

55.0%True Shooting %46.0%

26.5%Turnover Rate23.5%

40.0%Free Throw Rate37.9%

36.4%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Utah State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 76.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.