New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.0%New Mexico

51.0%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -104

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 77

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricBoise State

63.7MMH Power Index59.5

114.8Offensive Efficiency113.9

100.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

14.6Net Efficiency6.8

2.0Strength of Schedule4.2

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

70.7Tempo68.6

53.7%Effective FG%52.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate42.7%

10.3Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (114.8–113.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–2.0), offensive rebounding (33.8–30.5), free throw rate (42.7–36.5).

Final

New Mexico

53—62

Boise State

Boise State by 9 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATBoise State

20-65FG20-56

31.0%FG%36.0%

3-253PT6-30

12.0%3PT%20.0%

10-16FT16-25

63.0%FT%64.0%

38Rebounds48

9Offensive Rebounds8

4Assists7

8Turnovers9

5Steals5

4Blocks7

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tomislav Buljan	F	24	6-11	0-2	4-7	10	1	1	0	16
Deyton Albury	G	24	5-11	0-1	2-3	6	2	2	0	12
Antonio Chol	F	33	3-10	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Luke Haupt	G	29	3-8	0-1	2-3	4	1	1	0	8
Uriah Tenette	G	29	2-7	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Jake Hall	G	28	1-10	0-7	0-1	5	0	0	0	2
JT Rock	C	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	3	0
Tajavis Miller	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Milos Vicentic	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Spencer Ahrens	F	20	5-7	2-2	0-1	8	1	1	1	12
Pearson Carmichael	F	30	3-10	1-8	4-6	5	0	1	0	11
Drew Fielder	C	21	4-10	2-6	1-2	5	1	1	0	11
Aginaldo Neto	G	25	2-4	0-0	6-8	2	1	0	1	10
Andrew Meadow	F	22	2-4	0-1	2-4	6	1	0	0	6
Dylan Andrews	G	29	1-8	1-5	1-2	4	2	2	1	4
Javan Buchanan	F	20	2-6	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Dominic Parolin	F	19	1-4	0-3	2-2	8	0	0	1	4
RJ Keene II	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Bhan Buom	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

75.4Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency75.4

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

33.1%Effective FG%41.1%

36.5%True Shooting %45.7%

11.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

24.6%Free Throw Rate44.6%

38.5%3-Point Rate53.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Boise State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.