Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Wake Forest

68.7%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -219

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 77

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreNC State 84

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricNC State

57.6MMH Power Index60.1

112.4Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.7Defensive Efficiency108.6

2.7Net Efficiency9.8

7.2Strength of Schedule6.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

70.2Tempo70.2

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

1.9Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.4), defensive efficiency (108.6–109.7), net efficiency (9.8–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–6.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.0–28.2).

Final

Wake Forest

57—70

NC State

NC State by 13 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATNC State

20-59FG25-59

34.0%FG%42.0%

8-313PT6-21

26.0%3PT%29.0%

9-13FT14-17

69.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists16

16Turnovers15

9Steals10

4Blocks3

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Omaha Biliew	F	28	6-10	3-6	3-4	10	0	0	1	18
Juke Harris	G	36	5-16	2-10	5-7	6	3	2	0	17
Myles Colvin	G	22	5-11	2-6	1-1	2	2	4	0	13
Tre'Von Spillers	F	37	2-8	0-1	0-0	8	2	2	1	4
Mekhi Mason	G	21	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	2	0	2	3
Cooper Schwieger	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Nate Calmese	G	33	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Sebastian Akins	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Cross	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quadir Copeland	G	31	5-11	0-0	4-6	2	8	3	0	14
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	26	3-6	2-5	5-5	2	0	2	1	13
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	32	6-10	0-0	0-0	11	2	2	0	12
Matt Able	G	18	3-7	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	9
Darrion Williams	F	21	3-12	2-6	0-0	6	4	1	1	8
Musa Sagnia	F	26	2-4	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	6
Tre Holloman	G	28	1-4	1-3	1-2	1	2	0	1	4
Alyn Breed	G	17	2-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Scottie Ebube	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

79.5Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency79.5

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

40.7%Effective FG%47.5%

43.7%True Shooting %52.2%

22.5%Turnover Rate20.8%

22.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

52.5%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.81Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

NC State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.