App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%App State

43.3%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -131

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 73

Team Comparison

App StateMetricOld Dominion

54.2MMH Power Index47.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

9.2Net Efficiency-2.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule-0.1

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

64.9Tempo70.9

51.1%Effective FG%50.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.0Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.8), net efficiency (9.2–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.2).

Final

App State

81—73

Old Dominion

App State by 8 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATOld Dominion

29-54FG25-59

54.0%FG%42.0%

6-183PT10-24

33.0%3PT%42.0%

17-28FT13-22

61.0%FT%59.0%

43Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists17

11Turnovers8

6Steals6

—Blocks1

20Fouls26

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	32	7-8	0-1	6-7	10	1	1	20
Jalen Tot	G	17	5-8	4-7	2-4	4	0	0	16
Alonzo Dodd	G	35	4-9	0-2	2-3	5	7	0	10
Kasen Jennings	G	31	4-9	1-2	1-1	4	1	2	10
Luke Wilson	C	27	3-4	0-0	4-7	6	1	1	10
Eren Banks	G	24	3-9	1-5	1-2	3	0	1	8
Chad Moodie	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	4
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	14	1-2	0-0	1-4	1	3	0	3
Andrin Njock	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Battle	G	38	6-12	3-5	5-6	6	4	2	0	20
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	27	4-6	0-0	6-11	4	0	0	0	14
Jared Turner	F	29	5-9	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	13
KC Shaw	G	28	4-13	0-1	2-4	2	3	1	0	10
Robert Davis Jr.	G	36	3-8	3-7	0-0	4	4	1	0	9
LJ Thomas	G	16	2-6	0-1	0-1	2	3	0	0	4
Scottie Hubbard	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Donovan Raymond	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
Zacch Wiggins	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rieco Hellams	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

122.0Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency122.0

12.0Net Efficiency-12.0

59.3%Effective FG%50.8%

60.2%True Shooting %52.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate11.9%

51.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.18Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

App State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.