Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%Georgia State

87.7%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -713

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 71

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMarshall 84

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricMarshall

38.9MMH Power Index52

101.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

107.5Defensive Efficiency110.3

-6.2Net Efficiency4.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule0.9

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.5Tempo70.7

45.3%Effective FG%55.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate29.7%

-4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–38.9), offensive efficiency (114.7–101.3), net efficiency (4.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.3), ball security (15.6–16.5), free throw rate (37.4–29.7).

Final

Georgia State

80—84

Marshall

Marshall by 4 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATMarshall

27-62FG29-59

44.0%FG%49.0%

6-233PT12-30

26.0%3PT%40.0%

20-23FT14-22

87.0%FT%64.0%

36Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists18

13Turnovers15

10Steals11

1Blocks3

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	33	4-15	1-6	6-6	5	1	5	0	15
Trey Scott III	F	28	6-9	3-6	0-0	5	1	2	1	15
Micah Tucker	G	30	4-12	0-3	6-7	1	2	0	0	14
Joah Chappelle	F	19	4-6	0-1	2-3	7	1	0	0	10
Jakai Newton	G	16	3-6	1-1	2-2	5	2	0	0	9
Anthony Enoh	F	22	3-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Ayouba Berthe	G	22	1-5	1-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Malachi Brown	G	23	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	3	2	0	4
James Cooper	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Speer	G	36	9-16	6-9	2-4	7	7	2	0	26
Wyatt Fricks	F	36	7-11	1-5	6-8	6	0	1	3	21
Landen Joseph	G	28	4-8	2-5	0-1	5	3	4	0	10
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	22	2-5	2-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	8
Noah Otshudi	G	24	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	3	2	0	6
Matt Van Komen	C	10	2-2	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	0	5
Erich Harding	F	15	1-5	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	3
Bryce Slay	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Shamarrie Hugie	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	0	2
Wilson Dubinsky	G	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Drew Fuquay	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

107.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

48.4%Effective FG%59.3%

54.9%True Shooting %60.5%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

37.1%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Marshall won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.