DePaul

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.0%DePaul

85.0%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -567

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDePaul 67

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreVillanova 78

Team Comparison

DePaulMetricVillanova

48.4MMH Power Index59.4

103.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.0Net Efficiency8.8

2.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

67.7Tempo67.3

49.9%Effective FG%53.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate31.4%

0.7Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–103.7), net efficiency (8.8–1.0), strength of schedule (4.4–2.0).

DePaul COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–105.9), free throw rate (36.8–31.4).

Final

DePaul

66—71

Villanova

Villanova by 5 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DePaulTEAM STATVillanova

27-60FG20-58

45.0%FG%34.0%

5-193PT10-23

26.0%3PT%43.0%

7-12FT21-31

58.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists9

14Turnovers8

2Steals9

7Blocks3

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

DePaul

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Gunn	G	30	6-12	1-3	2-4	7	2	0	1	15
Layden Blocker	G	30	5-10	1-2	2-4	5	3	1	1	13
RJ Smith	G	27	4-8	3-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
NJ Benson	F	26	5-8	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	10
Brandon Maclin	G	32	4-9	0-2	1-2	7	5	1	1	9
Kruz McClure	G	20	1-6	0-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Fabián Flores	C	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	4
Kaleb Banks	F	19	0-4	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Théo Pierre-Justin	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Lindsay	G	35	7-17	5-10	0-1	3	0	1	0	19
Tyler Perkins	G	33	5-12	4-6	5-5	7	3	2	1	19
Duke Brennan	F	36	3-5	0-0	3-7	12	3	1	1	9
Acaden Lewis	G	27	3-9	0-0	3-5	1	2	3	0	9
Devin Askew	G	25	2-8	1-2	4-4	2	1	0	0	9
Matt Hodge	F	32	0-7	0-5	6-9	6	0	1	1	6
Malachi Palmer	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Braden Pierce	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency99.0

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

49.2%Effective FG%43.1%

50.2%True Shooting %48.8%

20.7%Turnover Rate12.2%

20.0%Free Throw Rate53.4%

31.7%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Villanova won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.