Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.5%Fairfield

21.5%Canisius

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -365

Canisius

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 73

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreCanisius 66

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricCanisius

50.1MMH Power Index33.9

109.6Offensive Efficiency97.1

105.4Defensive Efficiency108.8

4.2Net Efficiency-11.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-1.8

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.0

67.8Tempo64.8

49.1%Effective FG%46.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate19.6%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

28.4%Free Throw Rate32.4%

2.8Average Margin-7.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–33.9), offensive efficiency (109.6–97.1), defensive efficiency (105.4–108.8), net efficiency (4.2–-11.7).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.4), free throw rate (32.4–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

81—85

Canisius

Canisius by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATCanisius

28-66FG25-57

42.0%FG%44.0%

8-233PT15-28

35.0%3PT%54.0%

17-23FT20-27

74.0%FT%74.0%

42Rebounds35

17Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists22

8Turnovers6

2Steals5

2Blocks3

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	35	9-14	2-2	0-0	4	2	1	1	20
Brandon Benjamin	F	33	8-13	0-0	3-4	13	2	0	0	19
Braden Sparks	G	25	2-11	2-8	7-7	1	1	1	0	13
Cam Estevez	G	18	3-6	2-4	2-2	2	2	0	0	10
Eric Mejia	G	26	1-5	0-1	5-9	4	6	0	0	7
Tony Williams	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Halon Rawlins	G	22	2-8	0-2	0-1	7	2	0	0	4
Deuce Turner	G	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Isaac Munkadi	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Ryan Zan	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nasir Rodriguez	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kahlil Singleton	G	40	11-16	9-12	6-7	5	0	0	0	37
Bryan Ndjonga	F	36	4-9	2-4	8-12	5	3	1	1	18
Myles Wilmoth	F	34	5-7	1-3	2-2	10	3	1	2	13
Mike Evbagharu	G	33	3-7	1-2	2-2	5	6	2	0	9
Anthony Benard	G	13	1-4	1-1	2-4	2	4	0	0	5
Brendan Oliver	F	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Marcus Niblack	G	24	0-7	0-2	0-0	4	5	1	0	0
Max Jusianiec	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chris Kumu	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
King Ijeoma	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

121.1Offensive Efficiency127.1

127.1Defensive Efficiency121.1

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

48.5%Effective FG%57.0%

52.6%True Shooting %60.9%

11.8%Turnover Rate9.1%

34.8%Free Throw Rate47.4%

34.8%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.88Assist / Turnover3.67

Game Summary

Canisius won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.