Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.4%Jacksonville State

31.6%Delaware

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -216

Delaware

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 73

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreDelaware 68

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricDelaware

51.2MMH Power Index39.7

108.2Offensive Efficiency103.3

101.8Defensive Efficiency112.9

6.4Net Efficiency-9.6

-2.3Strength of Schedule3.4

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.8

67.2Tempo65.5

51.0%Effective FG%52.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %20.5%

44.5%Free Throw Rate31.2%

4.3Average Margin-6.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–39.7), offensive efficiency (108.2–103.3), defensive efficiency (101.8–112.9), net efficiency (6.4–-9.6).

Delaware COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.4–-2.3), shooting efficiency (52.9–51.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

67—64

Delaware

Jacksonville State by 3 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATDelaware

21-44FG24-55

48.0%FG%44.0%

7-203PT11-32

35.0%3PT%34.0%

18-26FT5-6

69.0%FT%83.0%

32Rebounds26

7Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists12

11Turnovers8

6Steals4

3Blocks5

13Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	34	7-11	1-2	7-11	5	1	1	0	22
AC Bryant	G	36	3-11	3-9	3-4	6	2	1	0	12
Jacoby Hill	G	37	2-6	0-2	4-6	5	2	3	0	8
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	18	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	6
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	17	2-6	2-5	0-0	4	2	0	1	6
Jaye Nash	G	23	2-4	0-0	1-1	2	3	0	0	5
Thomas Tut	F	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Jamar Franklin	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Iaroslav Niagu	F	18	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	1
Aitor Anabitarte	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Toby Nnadozie	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Delaware

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Bliss	G	40	9-18	5-11	4-4	4	6	2	0	27
Tyler Houser	F	38	8-18	2-8	1-2	6	2	0	2	19
Justyn Fernandez	G	37	6-11	3-7	0-0	6	1	2	2	15
Jayden Taylor	F	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Macon Emory	F	34	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	0
Alex Kazanecki	G	25	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Bouna Kebe	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

111.3Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency111.3

5.0Net Efficiency-5.0

55.7%Effective FG%53.6%

59.4%True Shooting %55.3%

18.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

59.1%Free Throw Rate10.9%

45.5%3-Point Rate58.2%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.