Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Notre Dame

78.0%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -355

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 72

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia 81

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricCalifornia

49.7MMH Power Index56.5

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

-0.9Net Efficiency7.0

4.7Strength of Schedule2.8

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.0Tempo69.9

53.0%Effective FG%52.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

34.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-0.6Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–49.7), offensive efficiency (111.8–110.3), defensive efficiency (104.8–111.2), net efficiency (7.0–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.7–2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.6), offensive rebounding (31.4–26.6).

Final

Notre Dame

71—72

California

California by 1 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATCalifornia

22-55FG26-64

40.0%FG%41.0%

11-313PT11-39

35.0%3PT%28.0%

16-26FT9-12

62.0%FT%75.0%

44Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists13

7Turnovers3

—Steals4

1Blocks1

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	31	5-17	5-12	6-6	5	1	0	21
Jalen Haralson	F	31	5-9	2-3	5-10	4	4	1	17
Cole Certa	G	24	4-10	3-7	5-7	2	0	0	16
Carson Towt	F	28	4-4	0-0	0-1	15	2	0	8
Brady Koehler	F	5	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	5
Sir Mohammed	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-2	1	1	0	2
Mark Zackery IV	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Logan Imes	G	35	0-4	0-3	0-0	8	6	0	0
Garrett Sundra	F	22	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0
Kebba Njie	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dai Dai Ames	G	34	9-16	4-9	1-1	1	3	0	0	23
Chris Bell	F	31	5-11	1-7	4-5	5	0	0	0	15
Justin Pippen	G	29	4-11	3-8	3-5	4	3	1	0	14
Milos Ilic	C	15	3-4	0-0	1-1	4	1	1	1	7
Semetri Carr	G	17	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Lee Dort	F	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	11	0	0	0	4
John Camden	F	31	1-10	1-9	0-0	3	3	1	0	3
Nolan Dorsey	G	18	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mantas Kocanas	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

112.5Offensive Efficiency114.1

114.1Defensive Efficiency112.5

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

50.0%Effective FG%49.2%

52.7%True Shooting %51.6%

11.2%Turnover Rate4.7%

47.3%Free Throw Rate18.8%

56.4%3-Point Rate60.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover4.33

Game Summary

California won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.