Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Mercer

70.6%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -240

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 74

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 81

Team Comparison

MercerMetricEast Tennessee State

54.1MMH Power Index57.4

116.6Offensive Efficiency115.1

106.5Defensive Efficiency102.8

10.1Net Efficiency12.3

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.6

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

70.9Tempo67.4

53.8%Effective FG%55.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

38.9%Free Throw Rate35.0%

7.2Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), defensive efficiency (102.8–106.5), net efficiency (12.3–10.1), strength of schedule (-1.6–-4.4).

Mercer COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.6–115.1), ball security (14.7–15.1), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.8).

Final

Mercer

71—77

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 6 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

25-58FG24-57

43.0%FG%42.0%

9-283PT6-19

32.0%3PT%32.0%

12-17FT23-27

71.0%FT%85.0%

31Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists8

13Turnovers12

5Steals8

3Blocks5

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brady Shoulders	G	34	7-11	4-6	3-4	8	1	1	0	21
Baraka Okojie	G	35	5-15	0-6	5-6	2	4	2	0	15
Zaire Williams	G	33	5-11	3-8	0-0	1	0	1	0	13
Connor Serven	F	28	3-8	0-2	2-2	4	2	1	0	8
Quinton Perkins II	G	28	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	4	0	0	8
Armani Mighty	C	31	1-5	0-0	2-5	9	0	0	1	4
Bendji Pierre	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Tristan Gross	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	39	5-12	1-5	10-12	8	2	0	1	21
Blake Barkley	F	35	7-12	2-3	3-3	4	1	0	0	19
Jaylen Smith	G	21	3-8	1-3	6-6	3	1	2	0	13
Cam Morris III	F	32	5-14	0-2	2-3	6	1	2	3	12
Maki Johnson	G	28	2-4	2-3	0-0	5	1	2	0	6
Jordan McCullum	F	19	2-7	0-3	1-1	3	0	0	1	5
Allen Strothers	G	19	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	2	2	0	1
Gabe Sisk	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency106.1

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

50.9%Effective FG%47.4%

53.7%True Shooting %55.1%

19.1%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.3%Free Throw Rate47.4%

48.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.