VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.2%VCU

23.8%Duquesne

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -320

Duquesne

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 81

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreDuquesne 75

Team Comparison

VCUMetricDuquesne

65.7MMH Power Index50.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency106.2

13.1Net Efficiency4.4

5.4Strength of Schedule0.6

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

69.5Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate38.2%

9.1Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–50.7), offensive efficiency (116.4–110.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–106.2), net efficiency (13.1–4.4).

Final

VCU

93—80

Duquesne

VCU by 13 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATDuquesne

29-54FG28-53

54.0%FG%53.0%

11-253PT8-23

44.0%3PT%35.0%

24-31FT16-25

77.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds25

10Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists17

12Turnovers13

9Steals7

6Blocks3

19Fouls27

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	22	7-12	2-5	5-7	0	3	1	0	21
Lazar Djokovic	F	27	4-7	1-2	9-10	11	0	0	2	18
Ahmad Nowell	G	12	5-7	2-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Nyk Lewis	G	31	3-6	1-3	6-7	3	4	3	0	13
Jadrian Tracey	G	20	4-6	3-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	11
Barry Evans	F	22	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	2	6
Michael Belle	F	21	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Keyshawn Mitchell	F	13	1-3	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	1	3
Brandon Jennings	G	32	1-6	0-1	0-1	1	5	3	1	2

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarence Guinyard	G	37	8-13	2-5	4-7	1	5	0	0	22
Jimmie Williams	G	17	6-8	3-3	5-5	2	2	2	0	20
Maximus Edwards	G	19	4-7	2-5	0-2	4	1	0	0	10
David Dixon	F	25	3-4	0-0	3-4	3	1	2	3	9
Jake DiMichele	G	23	3-8	1-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	7
Jakub Necas	F	30	1-3	0-1	4-7	6	2	1	0	6
Lazar Milosevic	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Alex Williams	F	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Cam Crawford	G	25	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

130.4Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency130.4

18.2Net Efficiency-18.2

63.9%Effective FG%60.4%

67.7%True Shooting %61.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.1%

57.4%Free Throw Rate47.2%

46.3%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

VCU won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.