Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Denver

84.6%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.9

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -549

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 76

Projected Total163.9

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 88

Team Comparison

DenverMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

49.1MMH Power Index59.8

119.2Offensive Efficiency116.8

119.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

0.0Net Efficiency14.6

-2.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

69.5Tempo70.0

55.3%Effective FG%59.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

0.0Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–49.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–119.2), net efficiency (14.6–0.0), recent form (14.7–4.0).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–116.8), strength of schedule (-2.6–-3.6), offensive rebounding (30.9–22.1).

Final

Denver

88—92

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 4 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

27-55FG31-67

49.0%FG%46.0%

8-213PT13-33

38.0%3PT%39.0%

26-30FT17-29

87.0%FT%59.0%

37Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists20

11Turnovers7

3Steals7

4Blocks1

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zane Nelson	G	39	4-12	3-6	13-15	9	6	0	1	24
Jeremiah Burke	F	31	8-13	3-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	19
Julius Rollins	G	27	2-5	1-3	7-8	1	2	2	2	12
Carson Johnson	G	29	3-9	1-5	4-4	0	0	0	0	11
Gabe Oldham	F	25	5-6	0-0	0-1	7	2	1	0	10
Logan Kinsey	F	30	2-6	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Shaun Wysocki	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	6
Corleone Dandridge	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Janowski	G	36	12-22	3-8	4-7	7	1	0	0	31
Ben Oosterbaan	F	34	6-13	4-10	0-0	5	2	0	1	16
Austin Herro	G	28	4-5	3-3	4-5	5	4	1	0	15
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	20	4-6	1-3	3-4	6	0	0	0	12
Ryan Dufault	G	16	2-4	0-0	5-7	2	1	2	0	9
Nolan Minessale	G	22	1-11	1-5	1-5	5	6	2	0	4
Carter Bjerke	F	28	1-3	1-2	0-1	1	3	1	0	3
Jermaine Coleman	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

122.9Offensive Efficiency128.5

128.5Defensive Efficiency122.9

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

56.4%Effective FG%56.0%

63.5%True Shooting %56.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate9.8%

54.5%Free Throw Rate43.3%

38.2%3-Point Rate49.3%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.86

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.