Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Baylor

64.5%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -182

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 76

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreTCU 81

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricTCU

58.9MMH Power Index59.7

116.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency102.7

7.2Net Efficiency7.5

4.0Strength of Schedule4.6

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.7Tempo70.2

54.4%Effective FG%50.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.1Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–58.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–109.5), net efficiency (7.5–7.2), strength of schedule (4.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.5), offensive rebounding (37.5–33.6).

Final

Baylor

63—69

TCU

TCU by 6 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATTCU

22-59FG23-60

37.0%FG%38.0%

5-213PT8-20

24.0%3PT%40.0%

14-18FT15-23

78.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds19

14Assists16

11Turnovers11

8Steals6

8Blocks10

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	36	6-12	1-5	4-5	3	1	2	1	17
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	31	4-11	1-4	4-4	4	1	2	0	13
Tounde Yessoufou	G	32	4-12	2-7	0-0	5	1	3	2	10
Obi Agbim	G	30	1-8	1-4	3-3	3	5	0	0	6
Michael Rataj	G	22	2-8	0-1	1-1	4	2	0	1	5
James Nnaji	C	16	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	5
Isaac Williams IV	G	15	2-4	0-0	0-2	1	1	1	2	4
Caden Powell	C	18	1-1	0-0	1-1	4	2	0	2	3

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Robinson	F	31	3-6	1-3	6-8	10	3	0	1	13
Xavier Edmonds	F	19	4-6	1-1	3-5	4	1	1	0	12
David Punch	F	30	3-10	0-0	5-7	8	2	1	4	11
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	21	4-7	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Jayden Pierre	G	33	3-10	2-5	0-0	3	4	2	2	8
Brock Harding	G	37	3-11	1-3	0-1	5	5	2	0	7
Jace Posey	G	19	3-8	0-1	1-2	6	0	0	2	7
Tanner Toolson	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

98.0Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency98.0

-9.3Net Efficiency9.3

41.5%Effective FG%45.0%

46.6%True Shooting %48.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

30.5%Free Throw Rate38.3%

35.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

TCU won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.