Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.2%Stetson

88.8%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -793

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 71

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 86

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricCentral Arkansas

40MMH Power Index54

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

-1.0Strength of Schedule-3.9

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

68.7Tempo71.0

53.8%Effective FG%54.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-6.0Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–40.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–115.9), net efficiency (8.7–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-3.9), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Stetson

73—93

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 20 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

24-51FG31-61

47.0%FG%51.0%

11-313PT13-32

35.0%3PT%41.0%

14-21FT18-23

67.0%FT%78.0%

28Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists22

15Turnovers11

4Steals8

4Blocks1

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	33	8-12	3-6	3-4	4	2	0	1	22
Ethan Copeland	G	25	5-10	4-8	0-0	1	0	1	0	14
Collin Kuhl	F	17	5-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	11
Finley Sheridan	F	21	2-4	2-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Daniel Macgregor	G	15	1-1	0-0	3-3	1	4	1	0	5
Jake Johnson	G	16	1-5	1-4	1-2	1	0	1	0	4
J.R. Leonard	G	13	1-6	1-6	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Calvin Sirmans III	G	21	0-4	0-3	3-4	3	4	0	0	3
Sean Morgan	G	6	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Matar Diop	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	3	0
Janusz Ratowski	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Alex Doyle	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Miller McGowan	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	29	8-14	2-5	3-3	4	5	1	1	21
Ty Robinson	G	25	7-13	3-8	3-3	4	2	1	0	20
Truman Byrne	F	19	4-5	3-4	0-0	4	4	0	0	11
Cole McCormick	F	19	5-7	1-2	0-0	7	2	1	0	11
Harry Beauchamp	G	21	3-6	2-5	2-2	0	1	1	0	10
Luke Moore	G	22	1-6	1-5	2-4	3	2	2	0	5
Malchiah Marable	F	21	1-3	0-0	3-5	5	2	0	0	5
Javion Guy-King	G	23	1-6	0-2	2-2	4	1	2	0	4
Tyler Lee	G	9	1-1	1-1	1-2	0	2	0	0	4
Ethan Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Parker Applegate	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
J.C. Shulman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

107.4Offensive Efficiency136.8

136.8Defensive Efficiency107.4

-29.4Net Efficiency29.4

57.8%Effective FG%61.5%

59.9%True Shooting %64.7%

22.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate37.7%

60.8%3-Point Rate52.5%

1.07Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.