Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.8%Toledo

24.2%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -313

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 75

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricCentral Michigan

58.8MMH Power Index44

116.0Offensive Efficiency105.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

6.4Net Efficiency-5.1

2.3Strength of Schedule-0.5

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

69.8Tempo69.3

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

30.3%Free Throw Rate32.9%

4.5Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–44.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–105.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–111.0), net efficiency (6.4–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (32.9–30.3).

Final

Toledo

78—75

Central Michigan

Toledo by 3 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATCentral Michigan

24-60FG29-60

40.0%FG%48.0%

4-123PT8-19

33.0%3PT%42.0%

26-32FT9-12

81.0%FT%75.0%

41Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists12

7Turnovers9

4Steals4

1Blocks3

12Fouls22

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	33	6-9	2-3	9-10	2	1	1	0	23
Sonny Wilson	G	38	6-15	0-1	4-5	6	5	0	0	16
Austin Parks	C	30	5-11	0-0	5-7	11	1	0	1	15
Sean Craig	F	35	4-6	1-1	2-3	8	1	1	0	11
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	39	2-12	1-4	5-5	4	5	1	0	10
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	9	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Mynor Strong	G	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Will James Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Phat Phat Brooks	G	25	6-13	0-0	5-6	2	2	0	0	17
Logan McIntire	G	23	5-8	5-8	0-0	1	1	0	0	15
Jaxson Whitaker	G	23	5-9	2-6	2-2	0	1	0	0	14
Nathan Claerbaut	C	27	6-9	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	2	13
Tamario Adley	G	31	3-11	1-2	0-1	5	4	1	0	7
Keenan Garner	F	25	3-4	0-0	1-1	4	0	3	0	7
Jalen Kampen	G	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Nick Mullen	F	24	0-4	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	0
Will Ashford	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

111.4Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency111.4

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

43.3%Effective FG%55.0%

51.9%True Shooting %57.1%

10.1%Turnover Rate12.7%

53.3%Free Throw Rate20.0%

20.0%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.86Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Toledo won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.