Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.5%Texas State

17.5%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -471

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 81

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 71

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricUL Monroe

49.4MMH Power Index30.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency101.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency117.1

4.3Net Efficiency-16.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

68.6Tempo71.7

51.3%Effective FG%48.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate40.6%

2.9Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–30.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–117.1), net efficiency (4.3–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.7), ball security (16.9–18.4), free throw rate (40.6–36.0).

Final

Texas State

84—79

UL Monroe

Texas State by 5 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

36-70FG28-56

51.0%FG%50.0%

4-143PT12-24

29.0%3PT%50.0%

8-12FT11-16

67.0%FT%69.0%

40Rebounds25

16Offensive Rebounds4

21Assists14

13Turnovers14

12Steals8

2Blocks5

16Fouls10

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Drone	G	36	9-14	3-6	3-3	6	2	1	0	24
DJ Hall	F	29	8-11	0-1	1-2	7	3	1	0	17
Jalen Bolden	G	28	6-10	1-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	13
Kaden Gumbs	G	38	5-11	0-2	2-3	6	7	5	0	12
Robert Fields	C	16	2-3	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	6
Makai Willis	C	13	3-8	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Tay Knox	C	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Kyndall Davis	G	22	1-9	0-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	2
Franck Emmou	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lavell Brodnex	G	39	9-13	3-4	2-3	7	1	2	2	23
Krystian Lewis	G	38	6-13	4-8	5-6	5	6	3	0	21
MJ Russell	G	35	7-13	2-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	16
Renars Sondors	F	32	3-8	1-3	3-5	3	3	0	3	10
Dylan Diaz	G	31	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	8
Micah Caster	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Alex Molofeev	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ayomide Bamisile	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Wiggy Ball	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

114.8Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency114.8

6.8Net Efficiency-6.8

54.3%Effective FG%60.7%

55.5%True Shooting %62.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.0%

17.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

20.0%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.62Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Texas State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.