Alcorn State

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Alcorn State

66.5%Jackson State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJackson State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEJackson State -199

Jackson State

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 74

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreJackson State 79

Team Comparison

Alcorn StateMetricJackson State

29.1MMH Power Index30.7

96.0Offensive Efficiency98.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency117.0

-19.1Net Efficiency-18.9

-2.1Strength of Schedule-0.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.3

69.7Tempo71.6

47.8%Effective FG%45.8%

19.6%Turnover Rate19.4%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

32.4%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-13.3Average Margin-13.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jackson State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJackson State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (30.7–29.1), offensive efficiency (98.1–96.0), net efficiency (-18.9–-19.1), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (115.1–117.0), recent form (-5.1–-6.3), shooting efficiency (47.8–45.8).

Final

Alcorn State

86—89

Jackson State

Jackson State by 3 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alcorn StateTEAM STATJackson State

29-62FG29-55

47.0%FG%53.0%

14-263PT10-27

54.0%3PT%37.0%

14-24FT21-25

58.0%FT%84.0%

35Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds7

19Assists16

10Turnovers10

7Steals5

4Blocks4

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davian Williams	PG	33	9-15	4-7	2-2	6	3	3	0	24
Shane Lancaster	G	34	7-9	6-7	1-1	1	0	1	0	21
Nick Woodard	SF	26	7-11	3-4	4-5	7	3	1	1	21
Tycen McDaniels	F	29	2-9	0-0	3-6	5	2	0	2	7
Bryson Calamese	PG	22	1-7	1-4	2-6	0	4	1	0	5
Omari Hamilton	F	14	1-4	0-1	2-4	3	0	0	0	4
Mike Jones	SG	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Jameel Morris	PG	25	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	5	1	0	0
Travis Roberts	SG	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jeremy Ellis	PF	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
William Henderson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daeshun Ruffin	G	35	8-14	3-6	12-13	1	8	1	0	31
Devin Ree	F	31	4-6	4-5	2-2	2	2	0	1	14
Dorian McMillian	G	31	5-10	2-6	2-4	5	2	3	0	14
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	25	6-13	1-5	1-2	4	0	1	1	14
Raevon Thomas	F	12	3-4	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	1	7
Delyle Williams	G	29	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	3	0	1	4
Tamarion Hoover	G	17	1-4	0-3	1-1	6	0	0	0	3
Kobe Butler	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Dionjahe Thomas	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

122.5Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency122.5

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

58.1%Effective FG%61.8%

58.6%True Shooting %66.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.3%

38.7%Free Throw Rate45.5%

41.9%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.90Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.