App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%App State

56.6%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -130

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreMarshall 76

Team Comparison

App StateMetricMarshall

54.2MMH Power Index52

110.9Offensive Efficiency114.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

9.2Net Efficiency4.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule0.9

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

64.9Tempo70.7

51.1%Effective FG%55.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate29.7%

6.0Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.3), net efficiency (9.2–4.4), recent form (7.0–-4.9).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–110.9), strength of schedule (0.9–-4.2), shooting efficiency (55.2–51.1).

Final

App State

81—88

Marshall

Marshall by 7 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATMarshall

28-59FG29-55

47.0%FG%53.0%

8-233PT12-24

35.0%3PT%50.0%

17-31FT18-25

55.0%FT%72.0%

35Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists20

11Turnovers8

4Steals4

3Blocks4

17Fouls25

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	34	7-14	3-5	4-4	6	0	1	0	21
Luke Wilson	C	34	5-7	0-0	9-17	9	0	1	1	19
Alonzo Dodd	G	38	5-11	1-4	1-3	9	5	1	0	12
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	21	4-5	1-2	2-4	0	2	0	1	11
Kasen Jennings	G	35	4-14	0-5	1-3	5	5	1	0	9
Jalen Tot	G	21	3-7	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Chad Moodie	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jacari Brim	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eren Banks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrin Njock	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Speer	G	33	7-15	4-6	3-3	2	7	0	0	21
Noah Otshudi	G	36	7-10	1-1	2-2	5	4	1	0	17
Wyatt Fricks	F	38	5-14	2-7	4-6	6	1	1	1	16
Shamarrie Hugie	G	14	3-4	3-4	3-5	2	1	2	1	12
Drew Fuquay	F	19	3-3	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	2	7
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	26	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Landen Joseph	G	18	0-1	0-0	5-6	1	5	0	0	5
Erich Harding	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Matt Van Komen	C	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Wilson Dubinsky	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Bryce Slay	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

115.2Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency115.2

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

54.2%Effective FG%63.6%

54.9%True Shooting %65.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate11.6%

52.5%Free Throw Rate45.5%

39.0%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Marshall won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.