Norfolk State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Norfolk State

40.8%North Carolina Central

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorfolk State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorfolk State -145

North Carolina Central

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorfolk State 76

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 74

Team Comparison

Norfolk StateMetricNorth Carolina Central

43.7MMH Power Index35.8

108.9Offensive Efficiency104.9

105.2Defensive Efficiency110.2

3.7Net Efficiency-5.3

-9.4Strength of Schedule-8.0

0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

70.1Tempo68.5

51.9%Effective FG%49.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

44.6%Free Throw Rate39.7%

2.6Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Norfolk State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorfolk State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–35.8), offensive efficiency (108.9–104.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.2), net efficiency (3.7–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-8.0–-9.4).

Final

Norfolk State

67—69

North Carolina Central

North Carolina Central by 2 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Norfolk StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina Central

25-62FG24-62

40.0%FG%39.0%

4-173PT4-21

24.0%3PT%19.0%

13-20FT17-25

65.0%FT%68.0%

40Rebounds44

17Offensive Rebounds19

9Assists17

12Turnovers13

7Steals6

9Blocks5

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Norfolk State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Ellis	F	29	7-15	1-3	3-4	8	4	1	2	18
Elijah Jamison	G	34	6-16	2-8	1-2	2	3	2	0	15
Anthony McComb III	G	38	3-12	1-4	4-5	5	0	0	0	11
Dian Wright-Forde	G	10	4-4	0-0	1-3	2	1	0	0	9
My'kel Jenkins	G	21	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	2	6
Keyontae Lewis	F	22	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	4
Adrean Newton	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jordan Leaks	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	2	1	2
Jaquel Morris	F	18	0-2	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	3	0

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khouri Carvey	F	37	9-16	0-0	6-9	11	1	0	2	24
Gage Lattimore	G	39	4-11	2-7	4-4	7	4	1	2	14
Jae Slack	F	31	3-9	0-3	5-8	4	3	3	0	11
Dionte Johnson	G	37	2-7	0-1	2-4	6	7	1	0	6
Tekao Carpenter	G	26	2-8	2-7	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Kyric Davis	G	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Ramondo Battle II	F	9	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryan Archey	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Khalil Arnold	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency99.7

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

43.5%Effective FG%41.9%

46.9%True Shooting %46.7%

18.0%Turnover Rate19.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate40.3%

27.4%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

North Carolina Central won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.