South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%South Alabama

69.2%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -225

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreTroy 78

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricTroy

51.4MMH Power Index54.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

6.4Net Efficiency8.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.4Tempo70.4

53.2%Effective FG%52.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

4.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.4–2.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.1), ball security (12.8–17.1).

Final

South Alabama

49—59

Troy

Troy by 10 • 58.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATTroy

16-50FG21-61

32.0%FG%34.0%

3-183PT13-42

17.0%3PT%31.0%

14-21FT4-7

67.0%FT%57.0%

37Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists17

10Turnovers9

8Steals8

2Blocks6

7Fouls15

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	33	7-9	0-0	4-9	5	1	1	0	18
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	34	3-10	2-7	2-2	7	1	3	0	10
Stephen Williams	F	27	2-7	0-0	4-4	13	0	1	1	8
Adam Olsen	F	26	2-10	1-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jayden Cooper	G	27	1-7	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Brian Hawthorne	G	15	0-4	0-1	3-4	2	2	0	0	3
John Broom	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Randy Brady	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
JJ Wheat	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thomas Dowd	F	37	7-15	4-10	0-0	15	2	1	3	18
Cobi Campbell	G	30	5-12	5-12	0-0	1	3	3	0	15
Theo Seng	F	31	4-11	2-5	1-3	5	1	0	0	11
Victor Valdes	F	31	3-11	0-6	3-4	4	4	4	0	9
Cooper Campbell	G	33	2-5	2-5	0-0	6	6	0	0	6
Austin Cross	G	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jerrell Bellamy	C	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	3	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.7Possessions58.7

83.5Offensive Efficiency100.5

100.5Defensive Efficiency83.5

-17.0Net Efficiency17.0

35.0%Effective FG%45.1%

40.9%True Shooting %45.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

42.0%Free Throw Rate11.5%

36.0%3-Point Rate68.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Troy won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 58.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.