Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Minnesota

74.2%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -288

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 67

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 74

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricNorthwestern

50.5MMH Power Index55.4

109.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

1.4Net Efficiency1.8

3.2Strength of Schedule5.6

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

63.6Tempo65.6

54.1%Effective FG%51.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

0.9Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.1), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–109.8), shooting efficiency (54.1–51.9), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Minnesota

84—78

Northwestern

Minnesota by 6 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATNorthwestern

28-51FG28-57

55.0%FG%49.0%

6-183PT6-23

33.0%3PT%26.0%

22-26FT16-20

85.0%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds20

8Offensive Rebounds5

25Assists18

11Turnovers4

2Steals7

1Blocks6

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Tyson	G	40	6-13	1-4	11-12	5	6	0	0	24
Isaac Asuma	G	40	6-11	4-7	2-2	9	1	0	0	18
Langston Reynolds	G	40	4-6	0-0	5-6	6	13	2	0	13
Grayson Grove	F	21	6-6	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	12
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	27	4-9	1-4	1-2	2	2	0	0	10
Bobby Durkin	F	28	1-5	0-3	3-4	3	1	0	0	5
Kai Shinholster	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	37	11-19	1-5	3-5	6	1	0	0	26
Jayden Reid	G	32	6-12	2-6	5-5	2	7	0	0	19
Arrinten Page	F	31	5-10	1-2	8-10	3	2	2	3	19
Angelo Ciaravino	G	26	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	7
Max Green	G	18	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Justin Mullins	G	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	0	2
Jordan Clayton	G	25	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	4	0	1	0
Tre Singleton	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jake West	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

127.3Offensive Efficiency118.2

118.2Defensive Efficiency127.3

9.1Net Efficiency-9.1

60.8%Effective FG%54.4%

66.3%True Shooting %58.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate6.1%

51.0%Free Throw Rate35.1%

35.3%3-Point Rate40.4%

2.27Assist / Turnover4.50

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.