Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Cal State Bakersfield

91.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -1011

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 70

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreUC Davis 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Davis

32.2MMH Power Index48.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

-12.4Net Efficiency3.5

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.9

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

73.0Tempo72.4

46.4%Effective FG%52.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

43.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-9.1Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.6), net efficiency (3.5–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–26.7), free throw rate (43.8–41.5).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

81—79

UC Davis

Cal State Bakersfield by 2 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Davis

26-62FG21-51

42.0%FG%41.0%

7-213PT10-25

33.0%3PT%40.0%

22-26FT27-36

85.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists17

10Turnovers14

9Steals5

2Blocks2

26Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Alexander	G	38	12-18	4-6	7-8	11	2	1	1	35
AJ George	G	36	7-17	2-7	4-4	5	1	0	0	20
Ronald Jessamy	F	21	2-5	0-1	4-4	1	1	1	0	8
Dailin Smith	G	19	2-8	1-4	3-4	1	1	1	0	8
Mike Price	G	29	2-9	0-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	4
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	23	1-2	0-0	2-4	9	0	1	1	4
Kadar Waller	G	16	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	2	1	0	2
CJ Hardy	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	2	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Chappell	F	29	4-9	4-7	3-4	4	0	1	0	15
Nils Cooper	G	33	2-8	0-3	9-10	7	1	0	0	13
Connor Sevilla	G	29	4-6	3-4	1-2	0	0	1	0	12
Niko Rocak	F	29	3-7	2-5	3-6	5	2	1	1	11
Marcus Wilson	G	26	3-7	0-1	5-5	3	4	0	1	11
Brayden Fagbemi	G	18	3-6	0-1	3-5	3	8	2	0	9
Jalen Stokes	G	16	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Omer Suljanovic	F	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

112.8Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency112.8

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

47.6%Effective FG%51.0%

54.5%True Shooting %58.0%

13.8%Turnover Rate19.7%

41.9%Free Throw Rate70.6%

33.9%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.