Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%Jacksonville

85.3%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -580

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 70

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 83

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricAustin Peay

43.6MMH Power Index54.8

109.8Offensive Efficiency115.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

-0.5Net Efficiency11.9

-4.8Strength of Schedule-5.8

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

66.6Tempo71.0

51.7%Effective FG%53.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

33.9%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-0.3Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–43.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.8), defensive efficiency (103.1–110.3), net efficiency (11.9–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.8–-5.8), offensive rebounding (33.6–30.3).

Final

Jacksonville

68—71

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 3 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATAustin Peay

24-51FG24-60

47.0%FG%40.0%

9-213PT6-20

43.0%3PT%30.0%

11-20FT17-22

55.0%FT%77.0%

40Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists10

17Turnovers8

6Steals12

5Blocks4

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Jones	G	34	6-15	1-4	3-6	4	3	4	0	16
Donovan Rivers	F	31	5-7	0-0	4-6	9	0	0	0	14
Evan Sterck	G	36	4-8	4-7	0-2	4	8	0	0	12
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	37	3-8	1-4	4-6	10	1	0	3	11
Hayden Wood	G	21	2-3	2-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Charles Caporaso	C	12	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	6
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Chris Arias	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zyree Collins	PG	31	9-15	1-2	4-4	3	0	3	0	23
Rashaud Marshall	F	30	5-7	0-0	6-9	4	0	0	2	16
Collin Parker	F	31	4-11	2-5	5-5	5	3	1	0	15
Anton Brookshire	PG	25	3-8	1-3	2-2	2	3	1	0	9
Tate McCubbin	G	31	2-8	2-6	0-0	7	0	3	1	6
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	16	1-6	0-1	0-2	2	2	3	0	2
Matt Enright	PG	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Creighton Morisch	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Tyler Wagner	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

98.6Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency98.6

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

55.9%Effective FG%45.0%

56.2%True Shooting %50.4%

24.8%Turnover Rate11.5%

39.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%

41.2%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.