Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Portland State

50.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -103

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 75

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricIdaho State

50.2MMH Power Index45.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

100.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.1Net Efficiency-2.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule0.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

70.1Tempo67.1

51.7%Effective FG%52.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.4Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–109.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7), ball security (16.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.4), net efficiency (9.1–-2.4).

Final

Portland State

93—87

Idaho State

Portland State by 6 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATIdaho State

32-60FG27-60

53.0%FG%45.0%

7-213PT13-32

33.0%3PT%41.0%

22-26FT20-30

85.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists18

8Turnovers10

6Steals5

6Blocks5

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	33	10-15	1-3	4-5	2	4	2	1	25
Jaylin Henderson	G	45	5-14	0-4	9-10	6	7	1	1	19
Kelcy Phipps	G	24	6-6	1-1	2-3	3	1	2	0	15
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	35	4-8	0-0	3-4	11	0	0	2	11
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	35	4-7	3-5	0-0	4	1	0	2	11
Brycen Long	G	14	2-3	2-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	8
Alex Dupre	G	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Williams	G	12	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Sebastian Tidor	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brayden Barron	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martin Kheil	G	37	6-10	5-8	3-5	0	4	1	0	20
Connor Hollenbeck	F	36	3-9	3-6	10-14	6	2	0	1	19
Lachlan Brewer	G	38	5-10	3-8	4-4	6	1	0	1	17
Caleb Van De Griend	F	32	7-13	2-5	1-5	10	1	0	2	17
Jamison Guerra	PG	40	2-8	0-3	0-0	3	10	0	0	4
Cheikh Sow	G	20	1-3	0-1	2-2	4	0	3	0	4
Evan Otten	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Gus Etchison	PG	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Louis Bond	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

125.8Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency125.8

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

59.2%Effective FG%55.8%

64.3%True Shooting %58.6%

10.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

43.3%Free Throw Rate50.0%

35.0%3-Point Rate53.3%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Portland State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.