Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%Mississippi State

91.7%Texas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL163.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas -1105

Texas

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Projected Total163.6

Projected ScoreTexas 90

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricTexas

44.6MMH Power Index61.6

107.4Offensive Efficiency119.6

113.2Defensive Efficiency110.1

-5.8Net Efficiency9.5

5.0Strength of Schedule5.3

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

72.3Tempo69.2

51.6%Effective FG%55.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %35.9%

30.9%Free Throw Rate44.3%

-4.2Average Margin6.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.6–44.6), offensive efficiency (119.6–107.4), defensive efficiency (110.1–113.2), net efficiency (9.5–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

101—98

Texas

Mississippi State by 3 • 82.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATTexas

34-76FG31-65

45.0%FG%48.0%

10-333PT7-25

30.0%3PT%28.0%

23-31FT29-40

74.0%FT%73.0%

47Rebounds39

19Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists12

11Turnovers10

4Steals6

6Blocks1

28Fouls24

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	40	10-31	6-17	12-15	3	3	0	0	38
Jayden Epps	G	41	9-21	3-12	6-7	3	5	1	0	27
Achor Achor	F	24	3-5	0-1	4-5	13	1	0	3	10
Sergej Macura	F	30	3-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	7
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	21	3-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	7
Brandon Walker	F	12	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	3	0	4
Quincy Ballard	C	25	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	2
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	0

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailyn Swain	G	37	10-18	2-6	12-15	14	3	1	0	34
Tramon Mark	G	37	8-17	2-6	2-4	3	1	2	1	20
Matas Vokietaitis	C	34	3-5	0-0	13-18	4	0	0	0	19
Chendall Weaver	G	32	4-5	1-1	0-1	4	0	2	0	9
Jordan Pope	G	27	4-13	1-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Simeon Wilcher	G	26	2-6	1-3	2-2	4	4	1	0	7
Camden Heide	F	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Lassina Traore	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.4Possessions82.4

122.6Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency122.6

3.6Net Efficiency-3.6

51.3%Effective FG%53.1%

55.7%True Shooting %58.3%

13.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

40.8%Free Throw Rate61.5%

43.4%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 82.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.