Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Colorado State

73.1%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -272

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 77

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricGrand Canyon

55.4MMH Power Index59.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.9Defensive Efficiency99.1

7.2Net Efficiency10.1

0.4Strength of Schedule2.0

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

64.7Tempo69.3

58.6%Effective FG%52.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.0%

4.6Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.1–109.9), net efficiency (10.1–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–109.2), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.1), free throw rate (41.2–41.0).

Final

Colorado State

70—60

Grand Canyon

Colorado State by 10 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

22-51FG22-56

43.0%FG%39.0%

9-263PT8-28

35.0%3PT%29.0%

17-25FT8-13

68.0%FT%62.0%

39Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists11

13Turnovers10

6Steals6

2Blocks4

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carey Booth	F	34	5-11	3-6	6-6	12	1	0	1	19
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	29	5-7	2-4	3-6	2	2	0	0	15
Jevin Muniz	G	32	5-8	1-3	3-5	6	2	3	1	14
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	31	5-14	3-8	1-2	2	4	2	0	14
Josh Pascarelli	G	27	1-5	0-3	2-2	4	1	1	0	4
Jase Butler	G	27	1-3	0-1	2-4	5	0	0	0	4
Nikola Djapa	C	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Jojo McIver	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jon Mekonnen	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makaih Williams	G	24	7-15	3-9	5-7	4	1	1	0	22
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	37	5-9	2-5	1-3	7	3	2	2	13
Jaden Henley	G	33	4-13	2-7	2-3	4	4	1	0	12
Dusty Stromer	G	27	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	1	5
Brian Moore Jr.	G	23	1-5	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Caleb Shaw	G	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Efe Demirel	C	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Dennis Evans	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kaleb Smith	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

111.8Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency111.8

16.0Net Efficiency-16.0

52.0%Effective FG%46.4%

55.7%True Shooting %48.3%

20.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

49.0%Free Throw Rate23.2%

51.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.