Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Northern Arizona

91.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -1063

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 67

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 83

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricMontana State

36.9MMH Power Index53.6

107.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.8Defensive Efficiency104.9

-7.7Net Efficiency9.5

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.7

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

66.6Tempo68.1

53.5%Effective FG%55.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-5.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–114.8), net efficiency (9.5–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.7), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Northern Arizona

68—77

Montana State

Montana State by 9 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATMontana State

28-59FG26-56

47.0%FG%46.0%

5-123PT12-31

42.0%3PT%39.0%

7-11FT13-14

64.0%FT%93.0%

27Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists12

8Turnovers8

2Steals5

3Blocks5

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Shaw	G	26	6-7	5-6	1-2	2	1	0	0	18
Kavon Bradford	G	20	5-13	0-0	2-3	3	0	1	0	12
Traivar Jackson	F	25	4-4	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	9
Chris Komin	G	21	3-9	0-1	3-3	0	3	0	1	9
Ryan Abelman	G	28	3-8	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	1	6
Arne Osojnik	G	21	3-7	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	6
Zack Davidson	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Erez Poran	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Brennan Peterson	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Karl Poom	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Oakland Fort	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Diego Campisano	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	34	8-15	5-10	1-2	5	0	2	0	22
Christian King	F	27	7-14	2-6	2-2	9	1	0	0	18
Patrick McMahon	G	28	3-7	1-2	4-4	2	2	1	0	11
Seth Amunrud	G	19	3-6	3-6	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Chris Hodges	F	25	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	6
Jeremiah Davis	G	28	1-2	1-2	2-2	2	2	2	1	5
Davian Brown	G	24	0-4	0-4	4-4	3	3	0	0	4
Jaden Steppe	F	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

107.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency107.9

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

51.7%Effective FG%57.1%

52.9%True Shooting %61.5%

12.3%Turnover Rate13.2%

18.6%Free Throw Rate25.0%

20.3%3-Point Rate55.4%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Montana State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.