Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Cal Poly

47.7%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -110

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 82

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 83

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricLong Beach State

46.5MMH Power Index41.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.8

-3.8Net Efficiency-4.0

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

76.6Tempo72.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.5%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-2.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-4.0), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.4).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.8–111.0), ball security (17.7–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

66—74

Long Beach State

Long Beach State by 8 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATLong Beach State

19-56FG29-58

34.0%FG%50.0%

10-303PT4-17

33.0%3PT%24.0%

18-25FT12-17

72.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists16

11Turnovers12

5Steals5

—Blocks4

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	37	5-14	4-10	5-5	8	2	1	19
Jake Davis	G	31	5-7	3-5	2-2	4	1	1	15
Guzman Vasilic	G	31	2-7	2-4	3-4	5	1	0	9
Cayden Ward	G	30	1-7	0-4	6-8	7	4	0	8
Luka Tarlac	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	4
Ali Assran	F	13	1-3	0-0	2-4	3	2	1	4
Jackson Mosley	PG	1	1-2	1-2	0-1	0	0	0	3
Peter Bandelj	G	30	1-10	0-4	0-1	3	2	0	2
Austin Goode	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	2
Troy Plumtree	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Eric Brown	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Petar Majstorovic	F	32	12-16	1-2	0-0	10	3	1	0	25
Gavin Sykes	G	32	5-13	3-7	3-4	3	1	0	0	16
Cole Farrell	G	27	5-7	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Isaiah Lewis	G	14	2-5	0-0	4-4	2	1	0	0	8
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	20	2-2	0-0	2-4	4	3	0	1	6
Leopold Levillain	F	17	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	0	4
Shaquil Bender	G	18	1-7	0-4	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Rob Diaz III	G	29	1-6	0-3	0-1	5	2	3	2	2
JJ Chaikovsky	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

93.0Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency93.0

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

42.9%Effective FG%53.4%

48.6%True Shooting %56.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.9%

44.6%Free Throw Rate29.3%

53.6%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.