Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -372

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 77

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreWeber State 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricWeber State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-5.9Net Efficiency5.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

73.2Tempo71.5

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-4.3Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–112.0), net efficiency (5.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.4), ball security (14.2–15.5), free throw rate (41.8–38.3).

Final

Sacramento State

82—95

Weber State

Weber State by 13 • 77.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATWeber State

29-65FG30-59

45.0%FG%51.0%

9-273PT9-18

33.0%3PT%50.0%

15-24FT26-34

63.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists16

15Turnovers12

5Steals12

6Blocks1

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Williams	G	40	9-18	2-6	6-11	4	1	1	0	26
Mark Lavrenov	F	20	5-8	0-2	2-3	4	0	0	0	12
Jayden Teat	G	16	4-8	3-7	1-1	1	1	1	0	12
Taj Glover	G	18	3-4	2-3	2-4	4	0	0	0	10
Arman Madi	G	30	3-7	1-4	1-2	4	1	2	3	8
Prophet Johnson	G	36	2-11	0-2	3-3	5	5	1	0	7
Jahni Summers	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Shaqir O'Neal	F	21	1-6	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	2	2
Brandon Gardner	F	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Viljami Vartiainen	G	33	6-8	6-8	2-2	5	2	1	0	20
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	27	6-12	2-4	6-6	3	3	4	0	20
Nigel Burris	F	26	5-7	0-1	4-5	6	0	2	0	14
Jace Whiting	G	32	4-11	0-3	3-3	6	3	1	0	11
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	28	3-8	0-0	3-4	8	2	1	1	9
Malek Gomma	F	20	3-6	0-0	1-4	7	2	0	0	7
Trevor Hennig	G	14	1-2	0-0	4-6	0	2	1	0	6
ArDarius Grayson	G	11	2-3	1-1	1-2	3	2	1	0	6
David Hansen	F	6	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Duce Paschal	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.3Possessions77.3

106.1Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency106.1

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

51.5%Effective FG%58.5%

53.7%True Shooting %63.2%

19.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate57.6%

41.5%3-Point Rate30.5%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Weber State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 77.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.