Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Indiana State

67.5%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -208

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 73

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreDrake 78

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricDrake

44.4MMH Power Index46.4

104.7Offensive Efficiency109.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

-1.3Net Efficiency0.4

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.3Tempo68.6

53.6%Effective FG%52.2%

19.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

28.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

-0.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.5–104.7), net efficiency (0.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.3–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–109.1), recent form (-5.2–-11.3), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Final

Indiana State

72—74

Drake

Drake by 2 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATDrake

23-51FG31-59

45.0%FG%53.0%

10-273PT8-23

37.0%3PT%35.0%

16-19FT4-9

84.0%FT%44.0%

32Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists15

14Turnovers9

6Steals6

2Blocks2

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Scott	F	31	4-6	0-0	8-8	6	3	0	0	16
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	32	4-8	3-7	2-2	4	4	0	0	13
Bruno Alocen	G	30	4-6	3-5	0-0	6	3	3	0	11
Derek Vorst	C	29	3-10	1-3	3-6	6	2	1	1	10
Camp Wagner	G	29	3-6	1-4	3-3	4	1	1	1	10
Sterling Young	G	16	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Enel St. Bernard	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Xavier Hall	G	13	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	37	8-16	1-3	1-2	3	5	2	0	18
Jaehshon Thomas	G	28	6-7	2-3	2-4	3	3	1	0	16
Okku Federiko	F	32	6-15	0-3	1-3	8	3	2	0	13
Eli Shetlar	G	27	4-9	3-8	0-0	4	1	0	1	11
Andrew Alia	G	37	4-6	2-3	0-0	9	2	1	0	10
Owen Larson	G	21	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Griffen Goodbary	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Carr	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Braden Appelhans	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

113.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency113.9

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

54.9%Effective FG%59.3%

60.0%True Shooting %58.5%

21.9%Turnover Rate14.5%

37.3%Free Throw Rate15.3%

52.9%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Drake won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.