Bradley

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Bradley

60.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -152

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBradley 79

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 82

Team Comparison

BradleyMetricMurray State

54.4MMH Power Index53.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

5.2Net Efficiency4.0

1.6Strength of Schedule3.5

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

69.9Tempo72.3

51.2%Effective FG%54.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.7%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

37.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.6Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bradley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBradley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–53.6), defensive efficiency (105.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–4.0), recent form (0.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.2).

Final

Bradley

66—86

Murray State

Murray State by 20 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BradleyTEAM STATMurray State

23-70FG30-59

33.0%FG%51.0%

7-183PT13-30

39.0%3PT%43.0%

13-16FT13-14

81.0%FT%93.0%

33Rebounds44

13Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists15

4Turnovers12

5Steals—

2Blocks6

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Demarion Burch	G	28	4-13	1-4	4-5	1	2	0	0	13
Ahmet Jonovic	C	26	4-9	0-0	5-7	6	0	1	1	13
Alex Huibregtse	G	26	3-9	3-5	2-2	1	0	0	1	11
AJ Smith	F	20	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	9
Montana Wheeler	G	26	3-7	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Timoty van der Knaap	G	13	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Jaquan Johnson	G	26	2-12	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	0	4
Corey Thomas	F	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Kai Yu	C	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dietrich Richardson	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matthew Zobrist	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	24	7-10	2-3	4-4	3	4	0	20
Mathis Courbon	G	20	6-8	4-5	0-0	7	1	0	16
Fred King	C	22	4-8	0-0	3-3	8	1	3	11
JJ Traynor	F	23	3-5	2-3	2-2	4	0	1	10
Layne Taylor	G	26	2-6	1-4	2-2	4	5	0	7
Mason Miller	F	28	2-6	2-6	0-0	4	0	1	6
Roman Domon	G	17	3-7	0-3	0-1	7	3	0	6
Brayden Shorter	G	12	1-4	1-4	2-2	2	0	0	5
Brock Vice	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	3
Dylan Anderson	C	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
KJ Tenner	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

96.1Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency96.1

-29.1Net Efficiency29.1

37.9%Effective FG%61.9%

42.5%True Shooting %65.5%

5.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

22.9%Free Throw Rate23.7%

25.7%3-Point Rate50.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Murray State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.