Manhattan

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Manhattan

89.2%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -826

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreManhattan 65

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreMerrimack 79

Team Comparison

ManhattanMetricMerrimack

39.3MMH Power Index53.7

107.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

114.2Defensive Efficiency103.2

-7.1Net Efficiency3.2

-3.6Strength of Schedule0.7

-3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

69.1Tempo64.4

48.5%Effective FG%49.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-4.9Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–39.3), defensive efficiency (103.2–114.2), net efficiency (3.2–-7.1), strength of schedule (0.7–-3.6).

Manhattan COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.4), offensive rebounding (29.8–24.7).

Final

Manhattan

66—73

Merrimack

Merrimack by 7 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ManhattanTEAM STATMerrimack

28-66FG26-54

42.0%FG%48.0%

3-123PT8-26

25.0%3PT%31.0%

7-8FT13-20

88.0%FT%65.0%

37Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists15

9Turnovers9

6Steals6

1Blocks3

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Manhattan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Winston	G	40	6-10	2-3	2-2	1	5	3	0	16
Fraser Roxburgh	F	32	7-14	1-3	1-1	8	0	0	0	16
Anthony Isaac	F	19	6-12	0-0	4-5	8	0	0	0	16
Terrance Jones	G	29	4-10	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Marko Ljubicic	F	22	3-9	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Erik Oliver-Bush	G	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Devin Dinkins	G	39	0-7	0-3	0-0	3	5	2	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevair Kennedy	G	40	8-13	0-0	4-6	8	7	0	0	20
Ernest Shelton	G	36	4-12	3-10	5-6	6	1	3	0	16
Tye Dorset	G	40	5-9	2-5	3-6	2	2	0	0	15
Andrés Marrero	G	32	2-8	2-7	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Todd Brogna	F	23	2-7	1-4	1-2	7	3	1	1	6
KC Ugwuakazi	F	23	3-3	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2	6
Dylan Veillette	F	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

98.2Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency98.2

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

44.7%Effective FG%55.6%

47.3%True Shooting %57.5%

13.5%Turnover Rate13.3%

12.1%Free Throw Rate37.0%

18.2%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.