Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Jacksonville State

68.7%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -219

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreLiberty 76

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricLiberty

51.2MMH Power Index53.7

108.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

101.8Defensive Efficiency108.0

6.4Net Efficiency11.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

67.2Tempo65.3

51.0%Effective FG%60.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

44.5%Free Throw Rate32.1%

4.3Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–108.2), net efficiency (11.0–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.0–-2.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–108.0), recent form (-0.3–-4.2), offensive rebounding (31.3–19.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

69—78

Liberty

Liberty by 9 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATLiberty

23-57FG24-54

40.0%FG%44.0%

6-193PT8-22

32.0%3PT%36.0%

17-19FT22-28

89.0%FT%79.0%

34Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists14

9Turnovers7

4Steals3

5Blocks2

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	29	8-11	1-1	7-8	3	1	1	2	24
AC Bryant	G	38	7-13	5-11	3-3	3	2	0	0	22
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	29	3-15	0-4	2-2	8	0	0	1	8
Jacoby Hill	G	31	2-9	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	0	6
Jaye Nash	G	23	1-3	0-0	3-4	3	4	1	0	5
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	26	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	2
Toby Nnadozie	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Metheny	G	38	7-13	5-9	3-3	3	1	0	0	22
Brett Decker Jr.	G	32	4-8	1-5	7-8	2	1	1	0	16
Colin Porter	G	37	4-10	2-5	3-4	2	3	1	0	13
Josh Smith	F	21	3-6	0-0	6-6	8	0	0	0	12
Zach Cleveland	F	34	4-9	0-0	2-5	10	7	0	1	10
JJ Harper	G	28	1-4	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	1	3
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Zander Carter	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zander Yates	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

108.3Offensive Efficiency122.4

122.4Defensive Efficiency108.3

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

45.6%Effective FG%51.9%

52.3%True Shooting %57.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate10.9%

33.3%Free Throw Rate51.9%

33.3%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Liberty won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.